Nov 02 2016
FL Early Voting 11_02_16: GOP Extends Small Ballot Lead
The source of this data is here.
The trends continue, each day the GOP builds on their lead in ballots submitted for early voting in Florida. Today that lead expanded from 15,926 to 17,456. More importantly, the GOP In-Person voting is slowly beginning to equal Dem ballots.
As I have said since I began this thread, for Hillary to have a prayer of winning FL she needs to meet or exceed the 2012 benchmark for Obama-Romney. That year the Dems beat the GOP in ballots 43-40%. As of today (and for many days now), the Dems and GOP are tied at 40% apiece. But the GOP is building a lead that will at some point tilt that to 41-39%, which in my mind is the day Florida slips away from Clinton
The poll that had Trump up four in Florida is looking better each day.
http://news.hamptonu.edu/release/Hampton-University%27s-CPP-Latest-Poll-Shows-VA-Voter-Shift-from-Clinton-to-Trump-Post-Email-Investigation
Trump up three in Virginia