Oct 15 2006

What Does Rove Know?

Published by at 8:14 am under 2006 Elections,All General Discussions

Seems Bush and Rove share my confidence that the expected Republican electorial route will not happen [H/T RCP]. Rove is apparently predicting only a loss of 8 seats on the House, and I am still predicting only one loss seat. To me the polls have only been tightening and getting into the 3% range were, if down, Reps tend to win due to the consistent poll bias against the right that had existed forever. As I have said before, Remember Kerry’s 3 point lead going into 2004? It was a 3 point loss in the end. And the Reps have more money to run endgame commercials and they have a better GOTV capability. This all tells me a Dem needs to be up by more than 3% points in polls to be truly competitive, and all the polls are trending tighter. What will make this happen is if those on the right or ready to vote for the right think of two words. Determined and Dedicated. We cannot allow the Democrats to suspend our national defense efforts against terrorists, lawyer up the terrorists (on our nickel of course), abandon Iraq to Al Qaeda and provide them a nation-base from which to attack us, and spend all their efforts impeaching George Bush. That is our choice – (not the silly Foleygate issue).

15 responses so far

15 Responses to “What Does Rove Know?”

  1. TomAnon says:
    October 15, 2006 at 8:53 am

    I can see where the Dems pickup two seats in the Senate, Burns, Chaffee(good riddance), Dewine(Ney scandal is casting a big loop), Tennesee(Ford wins, Corker is a weak campaigner!), Santorum (PA is a blue state). Now, I can also see where Republicans pickup NJ and MD. Lieberman stays independent. So net +2 for Dems. No power change here.

    The house is really confusing. Although the individual polls are tracking favorably to incumbents, the open seats are almost all still up for grabs. This will really come down to election day and who shows up at the poll. Pundits say the Democrats are really energized. History says they haven’t showed up at the polls for the last tweleve years. The “young, internet vote” is a myth that they keep thinking will save them. Watch Weldon/Sestack that is an interresting race!

  2. tarpon says:
    October 15, 2006 at 9:16 am

    Maybe it’s as simple as they have seen this movie before and know how it turns out. Kerry won, didn’t he?

    Something to ponder
    http://tks.nationalreview.com/post/?q=NGY2ZTcwYjgzODRlNjY1ZWMwMDFiZWU2NWJjMWY5MWI

  3. elendil says:
    October 15, 2006 at 9:36 am

    Hat’s off to ya, AJ–you’ve been doing your part with your coverage of Foley and Reid.

  4. Snapple says:
    October 15, 2006 at 12:30 pm

    A site called News Max has twice claimed that Rove has promised the Republican insiders an October surprise.

    Well, it’s October… where is the surprise?

    All I see is Democrats guessing what Rove’s surprise will be.

    It seems to me like Rove has been on the receiving end of all the dirty tricks lately.

  5. HILLARYNEEDSAVACATION says:
    October 15, 2006 at 12:35 pm

    LET’s ROLL…

    We have a Nation to protect and the GWOT to win….

  6. Limerick says:
    October 15, 2006 at 1:17 pm

    Dems counting the chickens before the egg hatches. The Japanese called it ‘victory disease’.

    MSM is on the blitz, trying to do what they do best(they think), control elections.

    Here is hoping for a Wednesday morning champaigne brunch as Speaker Hastert puts his gavel back on the table.

  7. Terrye says:
    October 15, 2006 at 1:58 pm

    I have noticed that in the races where Democrats are supposed to be ahead there are not very many over 50%. Lots of folks are not saying. I think the Republicans can still hold onto the majority, but it will be tight..

  8. MerlinOS2 says:
    October 15, 2006 at 3:12 pm

    http://www.americanthinker.com/articles.php?article_id=5947

    I vividly remember the Presidential election of 1980. For almost the last three weeks, every reported poll had the race fairly close, but always with Carter four to six points ahead of Reagan. Two days before the balloting, the media began to report a slight but noticable shift to Reagan but said it was still too close to call, and the figures still invariably showed Carter ahead, but within the margin of error of three or so points. Then Reagan won 45 states with a 10% plurality.

  9. momdear1 says:
    October 15, 2006 at 5:14 pm

    I don’t see Ford winning in TN. Although Tennesseans play a good game of not being prejudiced, in their hearts they aren’t going to vote for a (quasi) black man named Ford, with all the baggage the Ford family name carries in the state. The Fords have been mixed up in, indicted for, and/or otherwise exposed as having duplicitous relations with numerous illegal and questionable activities involving political power and connections.

    The fact is, Harold Ford Jr. tells lies. Big obvious lies. Like, “My father was exhonerated after being under indictment for mail fraud ” (the offense which caused him not to run for releection to his US House seat, when Junior ran and won in a guaranteed Dem. win predominately black Memphis district.) Fact: Daddy wasn’t exhonerated. Bill Clinton’s Justice Dept. dropped the charges against him, along with the charges against other Dem. operators like Clark Clifford, the former Dem. Attorney Gen. (Either LBJ’s or Carter’s) who was under indictment for being the US facilitator for the middle eastern potentates who looted our banking ins. system (FDIC) in the BCCI scandal of the 1980’s. Question i s: Did some of the BCCI money looted from US banks help finance terrorist training camps and today’s terroriism?

    Ford has also lied about being a lawyer. I understand he has not yet passed a bar exam.

    Ford lies again, saying he is “Reagan type Democrat.” Give me a break!

    I am not sure he isn’t lying about being a Ford. All the other Fords are black. He looks like he is white. I wonder who is his daddy.

    If he will lie about these things he will lie about other things. If his mouth is moving, we can assume he is lying. Who needs another slick talking lying politician representing them?

    The one thing that has been overlooked by everyone reporting on the Ford family fiascos is their connection to the deaths of several children left on busses all day in the summer heat at Ford Family owned Day Care Centers in Memphis. During one of those investigations, it was reported that the Ford Family owned the placement service company which assigned all the children receiving subsidized day care to spacific centers and then sent all of them to Ford Family owned day care centers. The whole family appears to be into graft and corruption up to their eyeballs.

    Do you really think Tennesseans are dumb enough to elect some one with this kind fo background to Bill Frist’s Senate seat? I think Tennesseans are smarter than that.

  10. Limerick says:
    October 15, 2006 at 5:31 pm

    Thu Oct 12, 2006 (Associated Press)
    BATON ROUGE, La. – Democrats seeking encouragement about the party’s post-Katrina future in Louisiana found nothing to celebrate in the latest round of elections.
    They couldn’t find a candidate to run for one of the statewide offices on the Sept. 30 ballot. And their contender for the other post formally dropped out of the November runoff this week, saying he wasn’t sure he could rally enough dollars or votes.

  11. PMII says:
    October 15, 2006 at 6:05 pm

    I think there are still many undecided in many of the races. Many of these are pissed off Republicans, who will end voting Republican cause they would never vote for a Democrat.

    There is little excitment to even vote in the end & I think this flavors Repunblicans big time

  12. Ken says:
    October 15, 2006 at 6:39 pm

    “provide al Qaeda a nation-state from which to attack us”

    If Strata is truly worried about this rather than being a shill for the GOP in maintaining hold of the votes of the “Bush lunatic fringe,” he
    must also be a survivalist still quivering from flashbacks circa
    Dec 31, 1999, 11:59 P.M.

  13. Barbara says:
    October 15, 2006 at 7:08 pm

    I do not trust polls and never have. It doesn’t matter if they are in the republicans favor or not. They are flawed. I don’t think republicans want to talk to poll takers. They don’t trust them. Besides all the polls I have heard of are skewed toward the dems. People have ID on their phones and don’t want to answer a number they don’t recognize thinking it might be a fast talking salesman or one of these charities that keep 90% of the money and give the charity 10%.

  14. Limerick says:
    October 15, 2006 at 7:43 pm

    “Robespierre! Robespierre! Aw but for a Robespierre!”

    (Ken saying his night-night prayers)

  15. pagar says:
    October 15, 2006 at 8:56 pm

    If you have any respect for the ones you love, any respect for those who have died defending this great nation, vote Republican. A vote for any Democrat, translates to a vote for the current Democrat leadership, who have already told us, time and time again, how they plan to aid America’s enemies, by giving them more and more rights. America’s enemies have told us time after time how they intend to destroy us. Why would any American want to help them?
    Americans who believe in America will vote Republican in Nov’s election.