Feb 19 2008

Prelude To Terrorist Attack?

Published by at 1:01 pm under All General Discussions,Bin Laden/GWOT

Coincidental events are showing up on my radar that could be a bad sign – one can connect these dots and see a pattern that is more than a little disturbing. The big event of the last few months was the assassination of a Hezbollah terrorists who is only second to Bin Laden in the numbers of Americans he has killed. I posted previously on how this event has put much of the Western free world on a high level of alert.

The second dot is a very strange and unlikely event that disabled much of the communications infrastructure in the Middle East. It turns out the event that crippled the communications of that region is possibly not accidental but a deliberate act of sabotage:

Five undersea cables were damaged in late January and early February leading to disruption to Internet and telephone services in parts of the Middle East and south Asia.

There has been speculation that the sheer number of cables being cut over such a short period was too much of a coincidence and that sabotage must have been involved.

India’s Flag telecom revealed on February 7 that the cut to the Falcon cable between the United Arab Emirates and Oman was caused by a ship’s anchor. But mystery shrouds what caused another four reported cuts.

“Some experts doubt the prevailing view that the cables were cut by accident, especially as the cables lie at great depths under the sea and are not passed over by ships,” Murshed said on the sidelines of a conference on cyber-crime held in Gulf state of Qatar.

Why would anyone cut these cables? Well the final dot is the insane political grand-standing by the suicidal House Democrats who have decided to blind our intelligence to the activities of our enemies overseas. It is probably the worst time to play a game like this when al-Qaeda and their ilk want to effect a change in US leadership. Bin Laden’s thugs are probably dumb enough to think an attack on the US or West right now would ensure a Surrendercrat like Obama would be elected (this would of course have the opposite effect, but wars are started on mistaken assumptions – not smart ones).

It would be truly historic irony of the Democrats blinded our intelligence at the very time something major was brewing. Again, bad decisions lead to chaos, bloodshed and war – not good ones. Just check out Neville Chamberlain’s poor decisions leading up to WW II because of his efforts to appease Hitler.

If the communications cables in the ME were damaged deliberately, then it would seem there had to be some purpose. I doubt it would be an opening for the West to expand its surveillance capabilities – that can be done without tearing down the com infrastructure and very quietly. That leaves possible reasons our enemies might do the act. And it is clear communications during this period are being routed around the damaged circuits – and maybe blinding us even more than the Dems in Congress. Yes, pure speculation – but connecting dots in a manner that protects Americans means being more cautious and doubtful of events, not dismissing them with easy to reach rationalizations. That is how we ended up with 9-11.

Update: I have to listen to my ‘spidey senses’ and do some research on the recent outage and discovered some interesting details. First, the outage did blind US military forces to some degree:

U.S. military installations in that region were affected, but the Defense Department’s ability to reroute traffic and the capacity of its medical systems to work off-line kept the impact to a minimum.

The first two cuts occurred late in the day Jan. 30 off the port of Alexandria, Egypt, when an unidentified ship dragged its anchor across three fiber-optic cables on the Mediterranean Sea floor severing the cables. A third cable was cut off the coast of Dubai.

The severed cables cut capacity on the Middle East-to-Europe route by an estimated 75 percent and caused service disruptions in Bangladesh, Pakistan, Egypt, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates, Kuwait and Bahrain, with an especially disruptive impact on India’s communications- dependent economy.

The outages had minimal effect on most large U.S. businesses and government agencies, although the cuts disrupted Internet service at military bases in the Middle East and required the military to reroute its Internet traffic.

Much more here. The cuts are suspicious in their location and timing and effect. Add to these a Blackberry outage that effected those on both sides of the Atlantic in February and one cannot help but wonder at the amazing coincidence of timing. And I find the some of the dismissive rationales that argue against terrorism fairly juvenile and wanting:

Security experts said today that it was unlikely a terrorist group had sought to interrupt the global communications network – firstly because such groups rely on the internet for their operations, and secondly because they would be unlikely to possess the necessary diving equipment.

This is pure BS. al-Qaeda has demonstrated it can operate in very primitive configurations and avoids the digital infrastructure because of the ability to trace sources and destinations. And please don’t tell me AQ cannot acquire some diving equipment as the only reason they couldn’t be involved. What if this was nothing more than a practice run?

6 responses so far

6 Responses to “Prelude To Terrorist Attack?”

  1. kathie says:

    Maybe they were moving bin Laden to a new location? I think the demise of the cables was not an accident.

  2. kathie says:

    From “Gateway Pundit” I find this a little disturbing. Not that it ties into the cable cut.

    They are in Pakistan.

    Senators Kerry, Biden and Hagel hung out with former Prime Minister Nawaz Sharif yesterday. Sharif tried to impose Islamic Law on the nation and has reportedly met with Osama Bin Laden several times.

  3. crosspatch says:

    “Why would anyone cut these cables?”

    One result of these cuts is that Iran lost 100% of their internet and other countries to a lesser degree … until traffic was re-routed THROUGH THE USA to a Pacific Ocean path. Traffic that had gone between Europe and the Middle East now has to go through the USA until those cables are repaired.

  4. crosspatch says:

    Interesting article at Rusty’s blog:

    http://mypetjawa.mu.nu/archives/191325.php

    “The Supreme Court has effectively ruled that wiretapping suspected terrorists without a warrant is legal. ”

    “If the ACLU is correct, it means that the lapsing of the FISA law is no big deal. In fact, law enforcement may now have more ability to monitor terrorist activities because of the compromises included in the new law which give FISA courts much more power to oversee law-enforcement monitoring activities.”

    “Maybe we don’t need this new FISA law after all. I wonder if the White House had been tipped as the to way the Court would rule, thus explaining why President Bush hasn’t called Congress back into session to push through the new legislation? I’m guessing, though, that today’s ruling will prompt Pelosi and company to act.”

  5. dave m says:

    Debka, that Israeli counter terror publication, are predicting
    that Iran will attack Israel very soon, possibly as early as
    tomorrow.

    Figure it out.

  6. crosspatch says:

    DEBKA is the same league with “The Weekly World News”. If they print it you can be pretty certain it is not true.