Oct 28 2008
Wild Pew Poll
Pew has come out with another one of those fanciful polls assuming a never before seen historic edge in Democrat turnout models.  The bottom line is Pew has Obama up 15% nationally, but to pull this off Obama needs to see Democrats turnout ahead of conservatives and the GOP by a crazy 39%-24% edge – or 15%. Historically the largest discrepancy seen in the best of years for Democrats is 4%. Needless to say, if history is any guide Obama will be struggling a bit.
39-24-37. So the indies have become reps and the reps have become indies. it would be fine if it was 39D, 37R and 24I.
Just a few weeks ago Pew had them tied. I wonder what the party breakdown was then?
This is crazy, these polls are all over the place.
Methinks the Pew is aptly named.
> 39-24-37. So the indies have become reps and the reps have become indies. it would be fine if it was 39D, 37R and 24I.
BINGO!
[…] national poll that has democrats weighted by, say +12%, has Obama up by about the same amount. The latest Pew poll is a great example of this, as are the Morning Call polls in PA. They would indicate this kind of […]