Sep 25 2009
There are indicators all over the place flashing red on the Democrats as they rush headlong into political implosion. By being hell bent on pushing through partisan, hyper-liberal policies that the broad center of America opposes, they will make themselves the nation’s lightening rod for all their frustration and anger built up over decades in the next few elections cycles.
The first indicator is, as allows in politics, the money game. Just recently the GOP was trumpeting an rise in donations:
The Republican National Committee, National Republican Senatorial Committee and the National Republican Congressional Committee brought in a total of $14 million in August. That was $1.6 million more than the rival Democratic National Committee, Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee and the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee.
But the once-vaunted GOP fund-raising machine is showing new signs of life. The RNC has outraised the DNC in two of the last three months and has brought in a total of $6 million more than the DNC this year.
Just out today, the Democrats are wondering why their unilateral, cowboy approach to tell everyone else what is good for them – combined with demonizing the opposition made up of seniors, businesses, families, etc – is causing a serious drop in donations:
Democratic political committees have seen a decline in their fundraising fortunes this year, a result of complacency among their rank-and-file donors and a de facto boycott by many of their wealthiest givers, who have been put off by the party’s harsh rhetoric about big business.
The vast majority of those declines were accounted for by the absence of large donors who, strategists say, have shut their checkbooks in part because Democrats have heightened their attacks on the conduct of major financial firms and set their sights on rewriting the laws that regulate their behavior.
Biting the hand that feeds them is not a winning political strategy. Seniors are rising up in opposition to the cuts in the Medicare services and budgets – once a very left leaning group. I would bet the Jewish community is starting to shift its support after the mess we saw in the UN this week. The unemployed have learned now that government cannot stimulate jobs, only tax cuts can do that without months of needless suffering. They too seem to be shifting their positions.Â Intensity is higher in the opposition, even as their numbers grow.
Yeah, President Obama makes President Clinton look down right wonderful.
Another sign – independents are turning on Obama and the Dems:
For the first time, independent voters — who delivered Mr. Obama the White House and Democrats control of Congress — disapprove of the job he is doing, by 46% compared with the 41% who approve. In July, 49% of independents approved of the president, against 38% who disapproved.
Horribly written, probably to blunt the bad news for Dems. What this poll of ‘adults’ shows is that President Obama was +11% in July with independents, but came out of August -5%. A 16% swing in one month, which is just unheard of unless the bottom is about to fall out.
Another indicator – even the left leaning pollsters at 538 admit 2010 could spell the end of Democrat control of Congress:
Would 53% of the popular vote be enough for the Republicans to win a House majority? A quick look, based onÂ my analysis with John Kastellec and Jamie Chandler of seats and votes in Congress, suggests yes.
It’s still early–and there’s a lot of scatter in those scatterplots–but if the generic polls remain this close, the Republican Party looks to be in good shape in the 2010.
Personally, I don’t think the generic polls will stay that close. I think we are at a tipping point where all hell breaks loose. Â I think the Dems will sink even further behind, and for good reason.
The faux liberal stimulus package is doing nothing, as I predicted it would in March, and as the Obama administration later admitted would be the case. Now everyone talks about this mythical stimulus bill next year.
So, will Dems will be gaining support as unemployment hits 10+% through Halloween and Thanksgiving, as the under-employed number goes from the current 17% to 20+%? Won’t that be a nice holiday season through Christmas? I don’t think so.
The current economic pain and suffering, along with the fact the DC liberal elites are on a mad rampage of delusional and silly policies (cheap, extended, premier health care that will have no impact??) will be seen as more and more out of touch. Not just with mainstream American voters, but with reality itself.
Yeah, I think this is just the beginning of a massive slide in support. No one wanted to see the first African American President fail. But that wishful thinking cannot stand up for long to the tens of millions of Americans living through economic hell and being fed false promises and demagoguery. Envy is a poor substitute for a good job.
As much as we wanted to see Obama succeed at least somewhat, he seems to be a rolling disaster of left wing naivetÃ© and arrogance.