Jan 24 2006

Iran To Be Struck Soon

Published by at 12:13 pm under All General Discussions,Iran

I believe this is very possible:

The incapacitation of Israeli Prime Minister Ariel Sharon has made a pre-emptive attack on Iran more likely in the next nine weeks, Israeli sources tell the premium, online intelligence newsletter published by the founder of WND.

It was Sharon who vetoed the nearly unanimous recommendations of Israel’s generals that a quick strike was the Jewish state’s only chance at preventing Iran from building a significant nuclear arsenal.

Why? Because this too seems plausible

Meanwhile, in Washington, there is growing concern that Iran’s ultimate target is the U.S.

Earlier this month, Iran’s Revolutionary Guards conducted a conference on the use of weapons of mass destruction – nuclear, chemical and biological. Included in those briefings were presentations on electromagnetic pulse weapons and other military technologies deemed to be under development for use against the U.S., rather than Israel or other enemies of the Islamic republic. Even one nuclear weapon, used in an EMP-style attack on the U.S., would prove catastrophic to the nation, a congressional panel studying the vulnerability of America to electro-magnetic pulse weapons concluded last year.

Such an attack would not require Iran to use long-range or intercontinental ballistic missiles, which it does not possess. But a simple Scud missile, with a nuclear warhead, could be fired from offshore and detonated above the U.S. wreaking near total devastation on the country’s technological, electrical and transportation infrastructure. It would also have the advantage of offering Iran a degree of plausible deniability, given that “terrorists” armed with one nuclear weapon could achieve the same results.

It is easier to take the heat for a few air strikes than risk the entire country and the lives of 100’s of thousands of people. Simple math.

5 responses so far

5 Responses to “Iran To Be Struck Soon”

  1. sbd says:

    Not sure about the source, but it does make for an interesting read.

    ELECTROMAGNETIC WEAPONS: CUBA AND IRAN

    DR. MANUEL CEREIJO

    Intelligence reports have recently found the active cooperation between Cuba and Iran to develop electromagnetic weapons, most important the so called E-bomb. We exposed these activities in a report written on 2004. This past week of April 30, it was reported by the main cable TV news stations. We are here updating our last report.

    Preface
    The Russians’ FAPSI have been on the lead in the development of HERF and LERF FAPSI was partially privatized, and some of its members went to Cuba to work. Now, Russians (private personnel), Iranians, Chinese, and Cuban personnel are joining efforts, directed by Cuban military, on the development of these weapons.

    Cuba’s main facilities are at:

    Electronic Farm: 230 00’ 17″’ 820 25’ 26’’

    Bejucal Base: 220 56’ 00″’ 820 23’ 30″

    San Felipe : 22 50’ 82 20’

    Now, The E-Bomb: Introduction
    Now, China, North Korea, Iran and Cuba are joining efforts in the development of the ultimate of a high power microwave weapon, which we refer to as the E-Bomb. Of course, the United States is also working on it, and possibly already tested a version of it in Iraq.

    Such a weapon can shut down telecommunications networks, disrupt power supplies, and fry an adversary’s countless computers and electronic gadgets, yet still leave buildings, bridges, and highways intact. It will strike with precision, in an instant, and leave behind no trace of where it came from.

    The E- Bomb is really part of the family of high power microwave (HPM) weapons. HPMs generate an intense “blast” of electromagnetic waves in the microwave frequency band (gigahertz), that is strong enough to overload electrical circuitry. An HPM weapon can induce currents large enough to melt circuitry. But even less intense bursts can temporarily disrupt electrical equipment or permanently damage integrated circuits, causing them to fail minutes, days, or even weeks later. People caught in the burst of a microwave weapon would, by contrast, be untouched and might not even know they have been hit.

    From the military’s perspective, HPM weapons have many things going for them: their blast travels at the speed of light, they can be fired without any visible emanation, and they are unaffected by gravity or atmospheric conditions. The weapons come in two kinds: ultra-wideband and narrow-band. Think of the former as a flashbulb, and the later as a laser.

    Ultrawideband weapons radiate over a broad frequency range, but with relatively low energy. Their nanoseconds-long burst produces a shock that indiscriminately disrupts or destroys any unshielded electronic components within their reach. The bomb’s destructiveness depends on the strength of the ultrawideband source, the altitude at which it is initiated, and its distance from the target.

    Narrowband weapons, by contrast, emit at a single frequency or closely clustered frequencies at very high power. These pulses can be directed at specific target. Technologically, they are more sophisticated than ultrawideband sources, they are far more difficult to develop, but are reusable and of much greater use.

    An e-bomb can be deliver in a number of ways: cruise missiles, unmanned aerial vehicles, or aerial bomb. The e-bomb consists of both a microwave source and a power source. Ultrawideband e-bombs aim to create an electromagnetic pulse like that accompanying a nuclear detonation.

    more here

    SBD

  2. roylofquist says:

    Dear Sirs,

    I was in Peshawar, Pakistan during the Cuban Missile Crisis of 1963. We were monitoring communications across the Soviet Union. The Soviets detonated a device of somewhere between 350 and 400 kilotons at an unknown altitude. The whole spectrum from 1 mhz to 30 mhz went dead for 1.5 seconds. I have never seen any reports on the damage caused to electronic circuitry due to this blast.

    Observations:

    The Minuteman II guidance system had special diodes to detect EMP which shut down the computer for 2 seconds, permitting survival. I surmise from this that our own data suggested that integrated circuits were only somewhat vulnerable to close in EMP.

    The 350 kt device is well beyond the capabilities of the Iranians.

    The US purportedly used an EMP device against the Iraqui TV station. It didn’t work.

    There are a lot of scare stories out there. Dirty bombs? The biggest, baddest dirty bomb of all, Chernobyl, killed fewer than 50 people.

    Nerve gas? The attack on the Japanese subway, the absolutely ideal environment for it, killed 8.

    I do not in any way wish to discount the dangers we face. They are very real and very grave. I don’t think it serves us to worry about dragons when the wolf is sniffing at the door.

    Regards,
    Roy

  3. Snapple says:

    FAPSI was one of the directorates of the old KGB. It is like the NSA.
    Well, it was their signals intelligence.

    The Italians tried to buy it years ago (I knew that would never happen) but it was probably bought by Russia’s new “businessmen.”

    I am a little vague on FAPSI, but they were the really smart ones, not the knuckle-draggers.

    About Chernobyl–it may have only killed 50 outright, but I think huge numbers of people will be sickened and will die of Cancer.

    Many children were made ill, and parts of Belorussia have been evacuated.

  4. Snapple says:

    When I see these shadowy “private” Russian entities like FAPSI working with Cuba and rogue states, I really wonder if some of this terrorism isn’t driven partly by criminal business interests as much as by radical ideologies, Islamist or secular.

    I don’t know much about this; just wondering.

  5. Snapple says:

    Perhaps FAPSI is like some private NSA that can subcontract out communications and other expertise and to radicals or rogue states. I never heared they were involved in weapons; it was more telecommunications. But I don’t know much.

    Maybe the Democrats should worry a little more about FAPSI snooping around than the Able Danger or NSA surveillance.

    I am speculating a bit here based on very limited information. Does anyone know the current scoop on FAPSI? Anyone can look on the Internet, but unless you really know about this, it is difficult to know what is true or not.

    Russian scientists are very smart, but they are sometimes a little bit like Verner Von Braun. They don’t consider the consequences too much. Sakharov was the exception.