Jan 27 2010
Tonight will be interesting to watch, to see if the great communicator can snow America’s centrist voters into drinking the Kool-Aid one more time with charades and misrepresented ‘nice talk’. The stakes are huge, as this new NPR poll illustrate clearly:
The poll holds plenty of danger signs for the Democrats. In one indicator studied closely by both parties ahead of midterm elections, likely voters chose an unnamed Republican candidate by 5 percentage points over the Democrat on a hypothetical congressional ballot.
“So while it’s a 5-point lead overall, among the most interested voters, that lead doubles,” Bolger says. “And we saw that take effect in Virginia; we saw it took effect in [the] New Jersey gubernatorial race; and we saw it take effect in the Massachusetts Senate race as well.”
Wowza! a 10% lead among the most intense and interested voters! That would signal a pending decimation of Democrats this November (and, yes, a lot can happen between now and then, but very few things could turn this around versus those things that could make it even worse).
And when we peak at some details we see why there will likely be repeats of what was seen in NJ, VA and MA:
Look at those independent numbers! 79% disapprove of Congress (read Dems) and only 14%. It is clear that once safe Democrat seats are now in play. If this just holds to November it would be a historic election wipe out. But if we see soft Dems move with the rest of the country, then November could be a once in a century (or two) political upheaval. I mean, I cannot even get my head around what would result from numbers like this playing out across the nation.
It could easily mean races that run the gamut from light blue through purple to light red all go bright red (at least for this round). Michael Barone recently noted 150 seats could be in play in Congress. Numbers like this would make that a sure bet.
Are the Dems really that suicidal? Don’t they understand such a political tsunami would provide the next Congress free license to undo everything this President and Congress have done?