Feb 08 2010
I am always amazed out how far some people will go into denial to avoid facing the obvious. Obama’s poll numbers are tanking with the liberal Democrats as their combined failures start to stack up. They are heading for a huge fall blowout, but it is by no means the end of Democrat misery.
And, In a VERY Hypothetical Matchup â€¦
Looking at a three-way 2012 presidential contest between President Obama, former Governor of Alaska Sarah Palin, and New York City Mayor Michael Bloomberg, Obama receives 44% of the vote, Republican Palin garners 29%, and Independent Bloomberg nets 15%.
A Bloomberg candidacy helps Mr. Obamaâ€™s cause.Â Although Palin receives majority support â€” 57% â€” from the GOP, Bloomberg snatches 20% of the vote within the party.Â Among Democrats, Bloomberg only receives 4%.Â Democrats are firmly behind Obama with 84% tossing their support to him.Â Looking at Independents, 31% back Obama, and 27% support Palin.Â 24% report they would cast their ballot for Bloomberg.
Emphasis mine. I was left scratching my head for a while on this one. Why run a three way race with NY City Mayor Bloomberg as the ‘independent’ (or was he meant to be the GOP candidate??). There will not be a 3 way race in 2012.
So why this poll question? Then it dawned on me – what we have here is 44% for Obama and 44% for anyone but Obama. As every political junkie knows incumbents polling below 50% are seen as in serious trouble, and those polling near 40% are already history.
My guess is the two person test questions must have been pretty bad for our young, first term president, so they went with this whacky 3-way question to ‘hide the decline’!