Oct 05 2010
Fox News is out with some senate polls which should shift another state into the GOP column in the RCP average. First off, West-by-golly-Virginia:
Deep resistance to Obama’s agenda has put a West Virginia Senate seat once thought to be safe territory for Democrats in serious jeopardy.
A new Fox News battleground state poll on the race for the seat held by the late Sen. Robert Byrd for 51 years shows Republican businessman John Raese with a 5-point lead over Democratic Gov. Joe Manchin among likely voters — 48 percent to 43 percent.
At RCP WV is a toss up because there are only two other polls in the mix. Rasmussen with a 48-46 lead for Raese and PPP with a 46-43 lead for Raese. Adding this 3rd poll could give RCP enough reason to move the state over to ‘leans GOP’ since it will make 3 polls showing on average a Raese lead of 47-44 lead. I have been waiting for another poll to move this state, we may have it.
Other poll news from Fox has Reid finally fading to Angle 49-46%. As I suspected, the leak of a meeting between Angle and the other Tea Party (Scott Ashjian) candidate pretty much drove the other candidate’s supporters to Angle, once they realized the guy was more bitter about losing than anything else. This could move NV out of the tossup category. It is a race to see whether NV or WA fall next, but I suspect they are both ready to go any week now.