Oct 13 2010
Loony Moran In Trouble In VA-8?
OK, We know there is huge wave building out there, and this could be a total head feint, but if Jim Moron Moran is in trouble in VA-8, then I cannot mentally grasp the damage that will be unleashed on the Democrat Party on November 2nd:
An internal poll (R) taken in Virginia’s 8th District (Alexandria, etc.) shows ten-term US Rep. Jim Moran (D) with 45 percent to 32 percent for his Republican opponent, retired Army Col. Patrick Murray. Less than 50 percent is a weak sign for an incumbent, especially this one, deemed a shoo-in by most observers. However, it was a Republican poll.
If Moran were to flame out I would wager that means only 1-2 Democrats would survive in VA. Here are the current VA House members:
-
R-VA1: Rep. Wittman
D-VA2: Rep. Nye [will go R]
D-VA3: Rep. Scott
R-VA4: Rep. Forbes
D-VA5: Rep. Perriello [will go R]
R-VA6: Rep. Goodlatte
R-VA7: Rep. Cantor
D-VA8: Rep. Moran [could go R]
D-VA9: Rep. Boucher
R-VA10: Rep. Wolf
D-VA11: Rep. Connolly [could go R]
Bobby Scott (VA3) is not in trouble, and it looks like Boucher will hold on in VA9. But they would be the only 2 Dems left standing if Moran lost (I assume Connolly would go too, and he might already be gone). That would be one heck of a wave that knocks out 4 Democrats and leaves only two standing in VA.
Although I dearly wish Patrick Murray would win, I can’t help noting that at 32% he’s polling *lower* than Christine O’Donnell is right now. Not much time left to turn that around.
And this in a Republican internal poll?
WWS, you have to also look at Moran’s ceiling (which he should be nearing right now). Undecideds have apparently decided not to vote for Moran, and are only a small step away from giving the GOP a try. I also agree it is a big stretch this close in – but who knows!
Oh, God, please let it be true!! Moron is my congressman, and I haven’t dared hope he could lose in November. But, could it be?
[…] AJStrata at Strata-Sphere blog noted an internal Republican poll back on Oct. 13 that had Moran with less than 50 percent support. […]