Oct 31 2010
As Predicted, 2010 Will Make 1994 Look Quaint In Comparison
The context of this election is set. For the third time in 4 decades a Democrat President has pushed a liberal agenda via a liberal-led Congress and been smacked down by the voters. Carter, Clinton and now Obama have all followed a similar trajectory. For those on the left not getting the message – wait until Wednesday.
Carter is a well established disaster, who lucked into office after Nixon and Agnew resigned in shame and Speaker Ford rose to the presidency to give a needed pardon (to avoid what happened with the Clinton impeachment mess). Carter’s legacy was the rise of Ronald Reagan and modern conservatism. After Mr. Malaise-in-Chief the nation found its shining city on the hill through the optimism of Reagan, and the country flourished.
Clinton is regularly confused as a successful president because he limped through impeachment. But the fact is he was a disaster as well. He too lucked into office due to a quirky little 3rd party candidate (with a good core issue – deficits). Never achieving even close to majority support, Clinton helped bring on the rise of the GOP Congress – something that had not been seen in many decades. 1994 was a historic year in rejecting liberal command and control approaches to everyday American life. When Clinton came into office his party led both houses of Congress and were in the White House. By the end of it the GOP would go into 2001 with all three in their hands. Not a sign of success in my book.
Barak Obama was able to exceed Bill Clinton’s self destruction on many fronts. He racked up more deficits in 2 years than I think Clinton did in 8 (just guessing here). Clinton left office – thanks to a GOP Congress – with balanced budgets (he vetoed them twice over non-issues before capitulating before the upcoming election). Obama is looking at trillion dollar ANNUAL deficits as far as the eye can see. The Clinton-Democrat 1994 rejection happened during an economic growth period. And the lefty Hilary-care bill failed to be passed. The Obama-Democrat 2010 rejection is happening during the worst recession in a century, and Obamacare is a rallying cry about what is wrong with DC these days.
The Washington Post has the grim news for the Dems in a new election eve poll out today:
Among those most likely to cast ballots in their congressional districts, 49 percent say they side with the Republican candidate, 45 percent with the Democratic one. This four-point GOP edge puts Republicans in an even stronger position than they were heading into the final days of the 1994 election.
A narrow majority of likely voters, 52 percent, also disapproves of the way Obama is handling his job as president. That’s the same as the percentage of Election Day 1994 voters who said they disapproved of President Clinton’s performance, according to that year’s exit polling.
The WaPo/ABC poll is a complete outlier in terms of absolute numbers. The GOP is much farther ahead than the 5% they claim. But when comparing apples to apples, they are seeing the same environment that decimated the Dems in 1994. The Dems would be lucky if 2010 will be that good.
Everyone is predicting 50+ seat losses in the House for the Dems, with it easily going above 60. The RCP House data shows the Dems losing arouind 64 house seats, as more and more Dems districts sink under the GOP wave. RCP has the Dems at 171 safe or leaning seats and the GOP at 222. By these numbers the GOP has probably already gained 44 seats, and we have not even gotten into the 42 tossup seats.
One has to wonder, after being sent the same message three times, if the left will ever get a clue. They can’t spin their mistakes anymore. No one buys it. No one wants incompetent, corrupt and substandard big government solutions. Democrats get elected promising to be centrists, and then get whacked 2 years later for not keeping their word and being flaming liberals instead. After this third round of deception and rejection I cannot fathom very many Americans buying the Democrat BS anymore. If it is as bad as some predict come Tuesday, the Democrats will be in the wilderness for a long time.
Update: CNN’s generic ballot poll is out today and it shows pending disaster for the Dems:
The GOP’s 10 point advantage in the “generic ballot” question in a CNN/Opinion Research Corporation national survey released Sunday is slightly larger than the seven point advantage Republican candidates had on the eve of the 1994 midterms, when the party last took control of Congress from the Democrats.
Again, worse than 1994, by quite a bit. I may have to up my prediction of a 75 house seat pick up by the GOP.
Well, since this senate race in Alaska affects my wallet in Texas, I do not want to see Lisa win. Since Lisa was part of McConnell’s inner circle, if she wins, she will continue to be part of McConnell’s inner circle. She does not believe in conservative principles and values. I find her a corrupt politician and who would want to trust her after what she has done in the last few weeks. She should have done what Doug Huffman did for NY-23…to guarantee a Republican win. Instead she’s divided the GOP party in Alaska.
I just don’t want to see her back in WDC because she will prevent the GOP party from doing the right things to gain our trust back.
My vote would have gone to Miller.
Go away, Lurker (in a nice way, of course) … You are obviously trying to influence our (2) votes back to our primary rational (pretty much your last two sentences above) when we gave (2) votes to Mr. Miller … Curses on you for reminding us …
.
I can not forget debating with Senator Murkowski’s staff at a “Vets for Freedom” gathering a few years ago… Then… she came in for maybe :10 and listened & gave opinions … a very unimpressive woman …
All I can say is that I haven’t watched CBS anything much less CBS news in OVER 15 YEARS…except for football, only because it carries the teams I care to see.
The point of mentioning the media stations is the hit on positive poll numbers from the smearing done by the corrupt media. And there are AMPLE data to show the media’s bias against conservatives.
And one last thing: since murkowski is acting like a democrat, what’s to stop her from *becoming* one after the election…like spectre…or…her voting AGAINST conservatives EVERY TIME? How are Alaskans going to feel when she joins the “Group of 14” (or some such) after the election and sinks conservative agendas over and over? Not good, imho. The country does NOT WANT what Lisa Murkowski is selling, imho.
She is after a raw political power grab, imho, as she was duly defeated as a republican in a republican primary.
Miller stands for the things I like, NOT Murkowski.
And regards to lying, I’d say that sage advice works for ANY age! 🙂
Toes, if you are that confused about who or what to vote for, why vote?
Those meandering questions about how Miller is gonna fix the program and ‘keep the commitment’. If you asked the same thing about Murkowski and/or McAdams you would get the same answer.
You and I both know that when a politicians lips are moving he’s likely lying.
You have Lisa’s past to know you don’t want her.
You have Obama to know that you don’t want any Dims in Washington to support him.
So that only leaves Miller.
At least you know about his past, unlike one of the more renowned politicians now leading the Dimocrat party.
ivehadit
does CBS still pretend to do the news? I haven’t seen a newscast by them in many years. Why would anyone bother wasting their time on something like that?
I predict
House + 105
Senate +12
heh… We prefer “undecided” to “confused”
# Fai Mao on 31 Oct 2010 at 6:48 pm
I like the way you think, sir!
It seems Murkowski’s silencing of that Alaska local talk radio host, and the CBS Affiliate smear plot has had an impact on her campaign.
Public Policy Polling has Miller is ahead of Murkowski by 7% and she is stealing votes from McAdams.
http://publicpolicypolling.blogspot.com/2010/10/miller-leads-in-alaska.html
Joe Miller is favored heading into the final two days of the US Senate campaign in Alaska. 37% of voters say they’ll pick him while 30% plan to vote for Scott McAdams and another 30% plan to write in Lisa Murkowski.
Miller is winning despite having the worst personal favorability numbers of the three candidates. Only 36% have a positive opinion of him while 59% view him in a negative light. McAdams is by far the most popular with 50% rating him favorably to only 30% with an unfavorable one. Voters aren’t very enamored with Murkowski either, giving her a 37/53 approval rating.
How can McAdams be so much more popular than Miller yet still be trailing the race? It’s because 92% of the small group of voters that does like Miller is planning to vote for him. But only 56% of the voters with a positive opinion of McAdams are intending to cast their ballots for him, while 31% of them are going for Lisa Murkowski.
It looks like Murkowski’s Alaska Native Corporation gravy train is going to get derailed.
I can’t image voting for someone who cannot lose with dignity. Murkowski was defeated in the primary and should not even be an option tomorrow. But her and Crist through childish temper tantrums and left their party to try to still win their seat back. Grow up! The system is there for a reason! I would pick between the legitimate candidates who were chosen by the people to be on the ballot. And forget all those sore losers who are too childish to walk away.
RCP has now updated their numbers for the House:
Dems 164
GOP 224
Toss ups 44