Feb 10 2011
This winter has proven that the world is unprepared to meet the basic needs of its citizens. As the myth of global warming spread among the ignorant – fed by the greedy and power hungry – no one stopped to even think about what was behind the delusion of global warming cries. Let alone the dangerous ramifications of being being duped.
As a niche area of an immature science, too few of us realized the true essence of the matter. We allowed respect for ‘scientists’ to lead us to assume a certain level of openness, a certain level of mathematical credibility and a certain level of honesty. We gave a lot of benefit of doubt to the people behind these myths – initially. All that has been proven to have been misplaced.
The illusion of openness was shattered by a handful of arrogant people who were enjoying some backwater lime light. They rigged the ‘scientific process’ of peer review by journal so no one could challenge their claims. They bullied journals, squelched dissent and hid contrary results. So Goebbels like.
The illusion of mathematical credibility was destroyed when a clear -eaded and rigorous analysis of the uncertainty around their claims produced error bars that dwarf the magnitude of the supposed century-long warming (errors of +/- 3+°C going back in time against a signal of 0.8°C of warming). The fact is, within the ability to measure a global temperature anomaly, the last 100 years has been the same temperature, with short cool and warm periods that actually follow the gyrations of the ocean currents. A sort of ‘duh!’ realization when you consider (a) the mass of water compared to air and (b) the heat content of water compared to air. The engine of our climate is contained in the reservoir of heat captured and being held in our oceans, not in the marginal atmospheric gas called CO2.
And the assumed honesty was lost when the linchpin of the entire argument fell to the admission that tree ring proxies ‘diverged’ from actual temperatures in the modern era after 1960. Instead of admitting this divergence greatly expanded the error bars on tree ring data representing any kind of regional temp (not even a global temp- another fanciful leap never scientifically justified), the ‘scientist’ hid this from everyone by plastering the thermometer record over this scientific truth. They did this because they knew the proxy divergence would destroy the entire foundation of the global warming concept, and the credibility of the environmental movement on the left.
And so it has. Now there is no credibility for these people – they are the laughing stocks who claimed the Himalayan Glaciers would all be gone in 14 years and that snow would never return to England in the winter.
But I still allow some blame of complacency to lie on all of our shoulders. Consider myself guilty as charged on this count. I let the reputation of science past by the greats of Newton, Kepler, Watson & Crick, Tesla, Einstein and many, many others blind me to the fact this crew were poseurs. Al Gore should have been a warning sign of trouble – the guy is basically clueless. If you think Dan Quayle was not too sharp, Gore makes him look like a damn genius.
We should have simply looked at the claims and wonder why was there such a mountain of panic from an ant hill of temperature rise? Think about it folks – they are wetting their pants of a supposed 0.8°C rise in temperature over 100 years! Forget about the fact we have been coming out of a mini Ice Age for 400 years (some warming is expected). Forget the fact there is no way to get this global accuracy today, let alone use sparse data from before the time of wide spread electricity (let alone indoors plumbing) to get a global temperature number over 100 years ago for comparison. Forget about the poor math and the cover up of the data proving they had no claim for long term comparisons. Forget about this handful of arrogant ignoramuses dominating their little backwater of science and duping the gullible.
0.8°C over 100 years?
In the time it took me to write this post this morning the temperature rose 1°C. Every hour in the morning and in the evening the temperature changes by multiple degrees per hour. Every day the temperatures range by tens of degrees, and every year by many tens of degrees. All the while life on Earth suffers through these traumatic conditions!
Perspective is key here. Would we panic if there was 1% more water in the air any given day? Do we care if the low is 5°C or 5.005°C? Remember, this is 0.8°C per 100 years. that is 0.008°C per year. That is 0.0000022°C per day.
Let us compare this to something else to understand how minuscule and irrelevant this claim is. if I started out with 1 cent and increased it by this fractional amount per day (addition, not compound interest) it would take me 44,500 days to get my second penny. That is 122 years.
These so called scientist know this, which is why they had to create ‘models’ that did not assume a linear increase, but used an unproven feedback loop to accelerate the build-up of temperature. In their models CO2 creates out of control green house feedback. Interesting since CO2 is a fractional gas (~3%) while the dominant green house gas – H20 – apparently sits around and does nothing.
We all need to be more skeptical and more demanding of such wild and far reaching claims. The onus stands on those making the claims to have bullet-proof math, data and models. And at a minimum, their predictions have to hold water. Which they do not in this case. The first predictions of runaway warming were made 30 years ago. They interestingly match those being made today in terms of per-decade warming. And yet, they have been proven wrong by history. If you can’t predict results your claims are garbage – science 101.
We should never have given this nonsense anymore credibility than Wyley E Coyote suspended in air in violation of the force of gravity. But at least the Coyote was funny. Unprepared infrastructure has lost lives. This is not something to take lightly, or forgive easily. There is no ‘moving on’ from the farce that has become the IPCC and its industry of deception.