May 16 2011
The United Kingdom has a special place in world history. Among its most durable historic characteristics is its innovation, fighting spirit, indomitable will and drive for individual freedom. This small island nation explored the world and left its mark on many nations (UK, Canada, USA and Australia to name a few), many areas of science (e.g., Darwin and Evolution), modern music (the Beatles and Genesis come to my mind) and warfare (Harrier jets, the pneumatic launcher on aircraft carriers, etc).
But all good runs must come to an end, and apparently this run is going to end in bankruptcy and economic sclerosis. All this will be brought on because a bunch of lemmings have decided to follow the AGW pied-pipers over the cliff and into the abyss:
The new budget puts the government on target to meet a reduction by 2050 of 80% of carbon emissions compared with 1990 levels. The committee has said that to reach this carbon emissions should be cut by 60% by 2030.
…It is also hoped that the commitment to renewable energy – the committee says 40% of the UK’s power should come from wind, wave and tide sources by 2030 – will stimulate new industries.
The committee’s report says the new carbon deal will require that heat pumps will have had to be installed in 2.6m homes by 2025. It also says that by the same date 31% of new cars, and 14% of those on the road overall, will be electric. Experts say a total of £16bn of investment will be needed every year to meet the commitment. Some of this money will be raised through increases in electricity prices.
H/T WUWT. There are two fatal flaws to this death spiral. First off, renewable energy sources cannot provide constant, low cost power at a national level. It can’t now, and it won’t by 2030. As WUWT notes, wind power in the UK has turned into an expensive failure. The result of all this will be upheaval, followed by failure to retain the standard of living now enjoyed in the UK. Even the original article notes this:
The package will require sweeping changes to domestic life, transport and business and will place Britain at the forefront of the global battle against climate change.
The second flaw is, after all this economic damage and wasted spending, nothing will change climate-wise. Apparently UK’s leaders have failed to notice that the recent ‘science’ of climate has been destroying the theory of CO2 driven global warming. After a decade of flat or cooling global temperatures – all the while CO2 levels have kept rising – one would think even a tiny light bulb might spark.
We present a reconstruction of the total and spectral solar irradiance covering 130 nm–10 ?m from 1610 to the present with an annual resolution and for the Holocene with a 22-year resolution.
Translation: the scientists reversed engineered the Total Solar Irradiance (TSI) by looking at one area of the energy spectrum that can be reconstructed from 1610 to present day. From that one area of the spectrum, you can create the total energy curve since the Sun produces a very well known signature across all energy bands.
Then we use available long-term proxies of the solar activity, which are 10Be isotope concentrations in ice cores and 22-year smoothed neutron monitor data, to interpolate between the present quiet Sun and the minimum state of the quiet Sun.
Translation: The reconstruction is based on an isotope of Beryllium found in ice cores. This is a direct measurement of Solar Activity:
The production of 10Be is inversely proportional to the solar activity, because the increased solar wind during periods of high solar magnetic activity in turn decreases the flux of galactic cosmic rays that reach the Earth.
The less 10Be in the ice, the stronger the output of the Sun. From this very clear proxy (unlike tree rings which have been proven to completely diverge from the global temperature record many times in recent history) indicates why we had a Little Ice Age 400 years ago and why we are experiencing warming since then:
We derive a total and spectral solar irradiance that was substantially lower during the Maunder minimum than the one observed today. The difference is remarkably larger than other estimations published in the recent literature. The magnitude of the solar UV variability, which indirectly affects the climate, is also found to exceed previous estimates.
Translation: It is ALL about solar output, and probably marginally (if at all) about atmospheric CO2. This paper is stunning in how it completely destroys the theory of AGW. But it is not alone. I could go on and on since the mounting of conflicting scientific studies now easily matches the crappy studies done in support of AGW.
So Britannia is going to throw away billions of dollars, knock their economy into the Dark Ages and have unreliable and expensive power eroding their standard of living. All for nothing.
I guess that is one way to exit the world stage.