Aug 23 2011
As I said many times, credibility is a fragile and fleeting resource in politics. Once you lose it, it tends to collapse rapidly, with only a few groupies hanging on as the rest of the voters move on. Obama is now in that kind of complete collapse, which is not surprising after his tone deaf behavior before, during and after the debt ceiling debate. As the left screams at those middle Americans who have decided government is too big, too incompetent and too reckless with our money (a.k.a. the Tea Party movement that still exists, even without the smeared moniker) they have imploded and lost all their political capitol and what sliver of support they may have had after the 2010 elections.
Now Obama is trolling new depths in the Rasmussen poll (which has the President -26% with a strong positive of 19% and a strong negative of 45%) and is also way underwater with the Gallup poll (approve 38% and disapprove 54% for a minus 16%). The difference in the polls is Rasmussen is polling likely voters and Gallup the more benign ‘adult’ population. So both are actually consistent, and this consistency indicates Obama is now – barring something major – on track to lose big in 2012.
He has no time to earn back the support. Once voters turn their backs they almost never turn back again. And the left only have themselves to blame for this. They are neither as smart as they think they are, nor are Americans as dumb as they wish we were. The over reaching by amateurs produced unsurprising results as we see now, saw in the 2009 elections for governor in NJ and VA, in the MA special election and the 2010 elections. Obama had a slim chance with people to really build a bridge away from his liberal base, but he missed that window.
Now we just count down the time to November 2012 and sift through our options for the next POTUS.