Oct 14 2011
The President is in serious danger of becoming invisible as the GOP race begins to produce sparks – primarily because the GOP side is lining up to be a battle between Tea Party Libertarians/Independents and the Establishment GOP. Obama is not only a known quantity, but his inability to rethink his positions and explore outside his liberal box has him fading into the pasture of Lame Ducks. His obsession with Big-Government trickle down nonsense means everyone is turning their backs, looking forward to something that might work.
And that is why Obama has fallen into the incumbents tar pit of polling (click to enlarge):
Obama is polling below 40% against any old GOP candidate. An incumbent polling below 45% is considered toast. His ignorant plan to push for more left wing failed policies and try and cozy up to OWS protestors instead of Main Street voters are simply sealing his doomed fate.
It gets worse when Gallup adds in leaners:
The eight-point lead for the Republican candidate persists, 50% to 42%, when taking into account the leanings of undecided voters.
When your opponent is polling at 50% the race is lost. Things could change, but the trend is clearly downward. This administration is incompetent. It cannot even grasp that it needed to pivot to the center long before now, and relying on the 20% of the population that identifies as liberal/progressive is not a recipe for success, but a recipe for a landslide sized failure.
More good observations by the great Ed Morrissey over at Hot Air. I especially liked this comment:
When an incumbent falls below 50%, a risk arises of having undecideds break sharply for “change,” and Obama is 12 points below that threshold. That’s not in the “change” category, that’s in the “jump ship” category.
The Main Street voters jumped over a year ago – as anyone could tell if they just objectively pondered the 2010 wipe out of Democrats. When you support a President you give them a Congress to help them. When you don’t, you send them a Congress to stop them. This ain’t rocket science.