Oct 16 2012
Major Update 2: A 2nd body-blow poll out from Gallup:
Romney 50%, Obama 46%, and that means certain defeat if it holds.
Major Update 1: A body-blow poll out from KOS:
The candidates for President are Democrat Barack Obama and Republican Mitt Romney. If the election was today, who would you vote for?Obama 46 (47)
Romney 50 (49)
At a time when other polls are moving back in the president’s direction, our own weekly poll by Public Policy Polling saw the opposite—a two-point Romney gain. Per day:
Friday (38%) Obama 47, Romney 49
Saturday (39%) Obama 49, Romney 47
Sunday (24%) Obama 43, Romney 55
That Sunday sample, about a quarter of the total, was entirely responsible for Romney’s favorable numbers.
Ouch! As I have said since Saturday, if Obama is at 45-46% and Romney is at 49-50% this race is over barring some miracle. There will be a great discussion on this at Hot Air, no doubt. - end update
Bad polls for team Obama popping everywhere. Yesterday I noted this brutal swing state poll from USA Today/Gallup
With Romney at 50% and Obama at 46%, that spells defeat is the most likely outcome in these key states, which in turn would lead to an Electoral College win for the GOP.
Here is another poll from NPR with bad news:
The random cellphone and land line poll of 600 likely rural voters in nine battleground states Oct. 9-11 has Romney at 59 percent among the survey’s respondents. Obama’s support is now down to 37 percent among rural battleground voters, a plunge of 10 points from the actual rural vote in those states four years ago.
No surprise here. Rural area economies are built on family farms and businesses. Small business owners turning on Obama? Whodathunkit!
And this poll indicates Romney is trending towards a win in PA:
Gov. Mitt Romney has narrowed a 12-point gap with President Barack Obama and now trails the president 50 – 46 percent among Pennsylvania likely voters, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today.
This compares to a 54 – 42 percent Obama lead in a September 26 survey by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University.
Poll trends are very important now, and all show a bad November for Democrats. If PA has moved 8 points towards Romney in a month, with 4 point left in the gap, then a month from now PA could easily be in play.