A really good election round up site is at CSPAN – surpringly! And at this point the site shows a it pretty much impossible for the Dems to take over the House and basically impossible to take over the Senate. On the right hand side of the site they have a small summary table for the House, Senate and Governorships. For the house the have it 203 seats dems (including safe, favor and lean) to 220 seats reps with 12 toss ups. If the dems take all the toss ups (highly unlikely) then the reps will have a majority 220-215. In the senate it is even worse with Reps leading dems 52-45 with only three toss ups. If you look into the details that is with Santorum losing in PA.

I am watching PA because if Santorum moves back up, the entire tide will be shifting towards the Reps. The tally includes NJ going to the Dems (unlikely), and MD going to the Dems (not a sure thing at all). If that happens then we see probably a one seat shift down or we stay with the status quo. If Santorum comes back then there will be something happening in the electorate and more Dem seats will become exposed while Rep seats become safer. We shall see. The next set of polls will tell a lot. No changes in my prediction yet. But I am seeing it to be highly unlikely there will be any power shift to the left this year.