At RCP you can read up on Hostettleer. He doesn’t take PAC money and actually doesn’t do a lot of money campaigning. Therefore he is always underfunded. But he also gets elected!

Both AJ and Mickey Kaus note the USA Today poll that puts the generic Democrat edge at +7; that makes three polls in the final weekend that show a considerable tightening of the race…will it be enough? We’ll find out soon enough…

……

During the last two months several so-called setbacks failed to depress the evangelical right, one was the Foley incident, then the David Cho interview followed lately by the Haggard set up. All of these events, while not excusing the behavior or Fole…

This is what Frank Newport wrote about the 2002 election on October 01, 2006:

In 2002, Gallup’s final generic ballot among registered voters – in the poll conducted Oct 31-Nov 3, 2002 – showed a 5 point- Democratic edge, 49%-44%. Among likely voters it was 51% to 45% Republican, for a difference in the gap between registered and likely voters of 11 points. The final national House vote in 2002 was 50.5% for the Republicans vs. 45.9% for the Democrats, a 5 point Republican advantage).

We gained two seats that year from 221 to 223 seats! Gallup was right then, wonder if its right now

But problems in Iraq have been absolutely pounded by the media for a long time now. The information is all out, and has been force-fed for weeks to virtually every voter. Anyone who is going to make a decision to vote one way or the other on the basis of that issue has almost certainly done so already. The rest of the major issues favor the GOP: nearly historic low unemployment, historic stock market highs, stabilized low interest rates, historic high home ownership rates, declining gas prices. Then, of course, there is Karl Rove’s famous “get-out-the-vote” machine, for which the Democrats have no real counterpart.

I therefore see the race likely sliding towards the GOP in the next three days, even as the mainstream media proclaim that the Democrats are “taking new territory” and “opening new fronts.” This race has some dynamics similar to those of the build-up to the 2004 Democratic Convention: The media played Kerry up prior to the Convention, just as the media have saturated the political marketplace with pro-Democratic Iraq negativism this time around. The result in 2004 was that the Democratic Convention itself could produce little or no “bounce” – in fact, Kerry may have experienced a “negative bounce” from his own Convention. Similarly, most new information and considerations entering the campaign and voters’ thinking in the next 3 days will probably of necessity favor the GOP because the Iraq issue has done all it can do already.”

http://musil.blogspot.com/2006_11_05_musil_archive.html#116274424477986068 (Much more about bad poll assumption–i.e. strength of Dem support–Jews conflcited, Blacks not happy , etc..

WOW…Just WOW, Crosspatch! You rock!

Carol

And you have running Senate and House totals on that main page just to get a “snapshot” view.

More like a link aggregator than anything else.

I planted bugs in a few ears elsewhere too just in case. I just hope its not too late to get something organized, but we’re supposed to be better at that sort of thing anyway, eh? Otherwise there will be links flying everywhere and tons of duplicate results I think. I don’t know…a weird idea perhaps but thought it worth a try.

Carol