Feb 27 2007
An interesting comment from Andre Lugovoi in recent days has me thinking the UK investigation may be hedging its bets into how Litvinenko ended up poisoned by Po-210:
Law-enforcement bodies of Russia and Great Britain are investigating 3 criminal cases at once, all of which concern Alexander Litvinenkoâ€™s poisoning, said former KGB officer Andrei Lugovoi, who is a witness in one of the cases. Lugovoi underlined that his status of witness has not changed.
Lugovoi denied pointblank all suspicions of his having relation to the poisoning of Litvinenko with polonium, reported Ekho Moskvy radio station.
So between the two countries there are three criminal cases being investigated? Well we know one of the cases is an assassination of Litvinenko using Po-210 as the ‘weapon of choice’. Regular readers of this blog know I am highly dubious of this theory because there are a myriad of proven, cheaper, less traceable and nearly invisible poisions an assassin could use which do not require the smuggling of a nuclear material used in nuclear weapon triggers, which is impossible to handle in its solid form, and which requires a very sophisticated lab to create a salt form that would disolve in a liquid. Even the most amatuerish assassin would leave Po-210 as a last resort option.
But that investigation is mandated by circumstances. So what are the other two? Well one is probably a smuggling operation trafficking in a nuclear material that is used in nuclear weapons triggers and would be an optimal material for a deadly dirty bomb which could kill thousands from an amount of material less than a packet of sweetener used in tea or coffee. That is still the scenario that, in my humble opinion, best fits the facts, evidence and key players.
So what is the third option? The Oligarch war, where someone took out Litvinenko because he was a threat to one or another of the powerful Russians in exile. I have serious doubts about this as I do with the state assassination theory. And would this be another investigation or the same as the first one? I guess there is a case to be made where Litvinenko knew what he was dealing in (Po-210) and a case where he was ignorant of the material he was handling and was killed through a mishap. So we could have two variants on the smuggling angle. Or it could be simply we have a UK investigation and two independent Russian investigations (or vice versa). Whatever it is, I doubt all eyes our focused on Putin right now.