May 06 2007
Zawahiri Laughs At Surrendercrats, Sees Victory In Their Bill
The liberals will not wake from their Bush derangement syndrom. They will not see their actions do everything for al Qaeda and destroy America’s best deterrant – our will and ability to defend ourselves. When the enemy’s leaders applaud your actions and ask for more it is pretty clear you are aiding the enemy’s efforts.
In a video, Al-Qaeda second-in-command Ayman al-Zawahiri says a U.S. congressional bill calling for a troop withdrawal from Iraq is proof of Washington’s defeat.
The Surrendercrats and their enablers in the SurrenderMedia have handed al Qaeda a PR victory. And they are insanely trying to hand them an actual victory. Will America awaken to the enemies within?
Actually the surrender crowd don’t care. For them there is no war, global or otherwise! Like Bill Clinton they all talk big, “I’ll hunt them down where ever they may be” and do nothing. Dem’s will never put boots on the ground, they will drop a few bombs and call it a day. See Mom, look what I did, now on to the important things.
What Did You Do in the War on Terror, Daddy?
As if the Democrats want to divert intelligence funds to studies of Global Warming. What does Global Warming have to do with intelligence, btw? They’re not concerned about intelligence and national security. Guess they’ll have no problem caving in to a one-world government?
Half of them probably think this guy works for Bush, that is how their minds work.
Did anybody watch Tenet on Tim Russert? George’s biggest worry is that independent actors, like bin Laden will get nuclear material from a nation state. He says we knew al Qeada members were in Iraq how ever we did not know if there was an operational relationship. OK, if everyone is worried that independent actors could get nuclear materials from a nation state, why is it such a reach that if the actors were in Iraq that they couldn’t pick up nuclear material? Tenet just proved that the administration was not lying, that they had a case to be worried about Iraq, and that the
Dems are the fools.
Will this convince the American Public once they learned that they’ve been lied to?
I doubt it. And since they actually believe the Newswe(a)k’s polling data. Captain’s Quarters explains why Newswe(a)k’s polling data is invalid.
Lurker
You have it right, CQ totally hit on this botched poll. I haven’t been able to find crosstab data on the Harris poll (also at 28) that Sooth touted in the prior thread but I suspect similar errors.
When you have a group of polls that fit a small cluster and one that is well divergent, then you need to look at the odd man out to see how they played their hand.
I have been reading some articles on the emergence of professional amateur poll participants.
Seems if the pollsters find a live one they go back to them over and over so they can not just get poll results, which are getting harder and harder to find, they want to track the same people from pole to pole to determine shifts from initial positions.
This is not revealed in their normal public poll data, but is only available to movers and shakers and not even their average paid subscriber to their polling service.
I have seen dozens of places today touting the NewsWeek poll data that CQ tore apart.
No need to ask if those sites and news organizations spit or swallow.
What sets of the bells and whistles is that multiple polls had a close correlation well above 30% and suddenly two polls show not just a decrease but matching 28% responses. From a 34% avg you would expect that if an event cause decrease the polls would show lower but somewhat varied numbers.
Two hitting at 28 after a steady state situation puts up the red flags.
One at 28 and another at 30 would not warrant such a look , but this is statistically troubling.
What seems strange is Bush has been in office for 6 years and all of a sudden two polls show 24/34 support drop which means about 40% of the supporters of Bush abandoned him in the last week or two.
I call BS. Everyone who has BDS or dislike of Bush has had it long before and this scale of move is not justified.
Was supposed to be 28/34 in the last post.
BAD MATH
That would mean an about 20% drop in support or 1 in 5 throwing Bush under the bus.
I don’t buy it.
(34-28)/34 = .17647 or about there.
Why don’t they tout Rasmusen’s ( not spelled correctly) poll last week that had Bush at 40%?
I doubt if you will see that big a move in Bush’s numbers this late in his term. Unless something radical happens one way or the other. People have pretty well made up their minds.
The only thing that I can think of that might push down everyone’s numbers, would be the price of gas. That burns people.
Kathie
I believe that poll was actually at 39% and Sooth is counting paper clips on percentages.
But you bring up a point that makes Sooth’s point even less valid.
One would think that when GWB vetoed the troop funding bill he would have gone up with the conservatives like the poll you talk about confirms, but Sooth is taking one 28% dropper and parading out another 28% poll which defies logic. The existing poll at 28% was ripped apart by Captains Quarters and probably the other is suspect.
Terrye
I said the same thing a couple of posts back, such a large change does not make sense. It defies logic even with current political developments.
I have been watching Rasmussen at Realclearpolitics, he has never had Bush below 35%, today he is 39%, just checked. You look at the left wing organizations and they are always low, way low. Rasmussen has been right on with most of his polls.
Kathie
Poll methods and quality always change, it is determined by who chooses to answer the phone and participate.
I watched the polls closely in the 2006 elections and saw many off the track of the final vote tally.
Rasmussen seems to hit a bit on the high side toward conservatives, but based on past trends, it only takes a 2 or 3% adjustment. This would still put GWB over 35%. Like I said earlier a leap from 35% to 28% doesn’t make sense , as Terrye said and I did earlier, pretty much every one has taken their position, the jump to 28% by two polls makes no sense. At this point in the GWB term you would expect close knit numbers with little variation.
Rasmussens had Bush at 40% yesterday.
I read over at Captains that this poll at Newsweek had a 8% margin of error. I have never heard of a national poll with a margin of error that high.
The only thing that would make such a jump other than a big event, would be if the demographics changed. In other words, they call more Democrats.
Democrats hate Bush, still gets elected twice. France hates Bush, elects a Bush clone. How can the Democrats and their fringe left say that the world wants change?