May 08 2007
The Democrat Decay In America
The Democrats think they have been rejuvinated with their take over of Congress – and they have to a small extent. But historic trends are never straight lines and there is a huge nostalgia surrounding the party of FDR and JFK – one which keeps arising every now and then with hope the next FDR or JFK will turn the party around. The Republicans have their role in this sea-saw too. They did nothing in their last at-bat but a lot of name calling at the moderate middle and bashing Bush with the liberal media. So the Dems returned to power so a nation could see, maybe one last time, what they could do.
The reason I believe the trend that started with Ronald Reagan is not over yet is the data shows it is not over yet. And Michael Barone has done some top notch analysis of census data with some amazing results:
Start with the Coastal Megalopolises: New York, Los Angeles, San Francisco, San Diego, Chicago (on the coast of Lake Michigan), Miami, Washington and Boston. Here is a pattern you don’t find in other big cities: Americans moving out and immigrants moving in, in very large numbers, with low overall population growth.
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The economic divide in New York and Los Angeles is starting to look like the economic divide in Mexico City and São Paulo.
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he bad news for them is that the Coastal Megalopolises grew only 4% in 2000-06, while the nation grew 6%. Coastal Megalopolitan states–New York, New Jersey, Massachusetts, Illinois–are projected to lose five House seats in the 2010 Census, while California, which has gained seats in every census since it was admitted to the Union in 1850, is projected to pick up none
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The nation’s center of gravity is shifting: Dallas is now larger than San Francisco, Houston is now larger than Detroit, Atlanta is now larger than Boston, Charlotte is now larger than Milwaukee. State capitals that were just medium-sized cities dominated by government employees in the 1950s–Sacramento, Austin, Raleigh, Nashville, Richmond–are now booming centers of high-tech and other growing private-sector businesses. San Antonio has more domestic than immigrant inflow even though the border is only three hours’ drive away. The Interior Boomtowns generated 38% of the nation’s population growth in 2000-06.
The nation is turning away from the Democrat strongholds. There is no denying this trend when we see it on this kind of scale and consistent across the nation. And trust me, these predictions are much better supported than those of the wild-eyed Human-Global-Warming crowd who have grown hysterical on theories and bad science (yes, the temperatures are about BACK to where they were 800 years ago).
The left is out on a limb on many issues – any one of which will destroy what little reputation they have left. And the Congressional poll numbers are sinking right along with President Bush’s because the Democrats are not getting a thing done. They are doing EXACTLY what the Reps did which is trying to bully and insult their ideas onto America. Except the Reps had some results to keep them afloat. The only thing looking good about DC right now is the gridlock – no harm can come if no legislation passes. Sadly that is not true with budgets, the need to pass or else we have economic havoc. The Dems need to get off the dime and fund our troops. Bush should remind them they passed the funds twice and can do it again easily (without a majority of the Dems). They can then pass any benchmarks and other nonsense all they want in separate (just as doomed) bills.
If they want to survive they better start working for America and not their own self-interests.
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