Feb 27 2008
I you want to see how the War On Terror as succeeded in decimating al-Qaeda, and how the movement has moved from the Middle East to Europe due to the decimation check out this assessment:
The third wave of terrorists comprises mostly “terrorist wannabes,” said Marc Sageman, a fellow at the Foreign Policy Research Institute in Philadelphia, who was a CIA case officer in Afghanistan in the 1980s. They are a post-Iraq terrorist generation made up predominately of Muslims in Europe who feel shut out of the labor market, said Sageman, speaking in Washington on Feb. 20 at an event sponsored by the New America Foundation.
Sageman said the first wave of terrorists were early companions of Osama bin Laden, who went to Afghanistan in the 1980s to fight Soviet invaders. Called Afghan Arabs, most being Egyptian, they are the surviving leaders of al Qaeda. Bin Laden only trusts and has contact with this hard-core group of original al Qaeda members. The second wave joined al Qaeda in Afghanistan in the 1990s, he said, and is made up mostly of disenfranchised Muslims from Europe. Both groups, which number around 2,000, remain isolated and hidden in the lawless Pakistan-Afghanistan border region.
The third wave sprung up organically, linking virtually with other networks, but because of the war on terror they have been unable to travel to this region for al Qaeda training and resources. Far more terrorist plots originate with this latest wave, Sageman said, but generally, they are poorly planned and the terrorists usually are arrested before they carry out an attack.
We have not won the war yet. We still need to destroy the remaining remnants of the hard core members now congregating in the tribal areas of Pakistan. But the trend is in the positive direction.
al-Qaeda has been on a killing spree of late, trying to demonstrate their viability by massacring Muslims by the droves. But all this does is expand the backlash in the Muslim community to al-Qaeda and drive them towards aligning with America and the West. There are still dangerous forces out there trying to leverage and/or replace al-Qaeda as the preeminent threat to Western civilization. There are indications Iran – which is a Persian society with centuries old conflicts with its Arab neighbors – is the emerging killer of Arab Muslim in Iraq:
“We have information confirming that Iranian secret services have sent agents to sabotage the Sahwa experience in Iraq,” the statement said, referring to mostly Sunni groups fighting Al-Qaeda in Iraq alongside the US military.
Persians aligning with al-Qaeda in killing Arab Muslims is only going to increase the backlash against al-Qaeda. So all indications, and a majority of the actions by al-Qaeda and other enemies of America, is that the path of these terrorist thugs is still towards self destruction. As I said, we have not won yet but we are the path to victory – as long as we don’t quit and run away. And why would we after coming this far and sacrificing so much? To simply appease some folks with stage four Bush Derangement Syndrome?