Apr 30 2008
The polls are showing that Obama is taking on damage in reaction to the Rev Wright’s media spectacle Monday:
early half of Democrats (48 percent) think Hillary Clinton has a better chance of beating John McCain in November â€” 10 percentage points higher than the 38 percent who think Barack Obama can win, according to a FOX News poll released Wednesday. This represents a significant shift from March, when Democrats said Obama was the candidate more likely to beat McCain.
Nearly a third of Clinton supporters â€” 32 percent â€” say they would vote for McCain instead of Obama (47 percent) if the general election were held today. Fewer Obama supporters â€” 21 percent â€” would defect and vote for McCain over Clinton if she were the nominee.
The ongoing controversy over Obamaâ€™s former pastor, the Rev. Jeremiah Wright, appears to have damaged how Americans view Obama. His favorable rating is now 47 percent, down 7 percentage points since February when 54 percent had a positive view of him. As may be expected, his unfavorable rating went up from 33 percent to 42 percent today.
It seems the Wright-Reynolds (and Clinton?) plan to tank Obama is paying off huge dividends the week before the next big round of primaries. Obama’s once commanding lead in NC seems to be shrinking fast as well. If you look at the trend at RCP we see a fast erosion in Obama’s numbers.
While the latest Survey USA poll has Obama up by only 5% (nearly a tie), the same poll had him at 9% just a week ago and 10% the week before that. Losing half your edge in such a short time explains why the Obama’s have moved into damage control mode and are coming out all over the airwaves. Rassmussen shows a drop from 23% three weeks ago to 14% this week. The PPP poll shows a shocking drop from a 25% lead a week ago to 12% this week – another loss of 50% of his lead within a week.
It would seem the timing of Wright’s PR stunt was exceptional in terms of damaging Obama for the upcoming primaries. And again, it is not secret now the the entire fiasco was a surprise to Obama, but apparently not to the Clinton campaign which has publicly denounced Wright while surrogates run around behind the scenes claiming it has ended Obama’s chances. And the threat of a Wright book deal coming out later this year is a warning shot to the Super Delegates to think before the select. This is politics at its brutal best my friends. Which is why most people shun the career.