Jun 26 2008
I know there are some polls out there with some heavy tilt towards Barack Obama, but I tend to watch Gallup which has been running a daily tracking poll for weeks now on the Presidential race and is showing just the opposite:
The reason Gallup is an interesting poll is it samples one of the historically more liberal sample – registered voters. This sample always polls about 3-5% to the left of what ends up happening in the voting booth. The fact is it is way to early to predict anything for November, but Obama (The Messiah) is sinking not rising. These other spot polls seem to be driven more by optimistic assumptions on voter turnout. Given how the liberal issues have been taking a beating recently I am not so sure there will be a Surge of support for Obama and the Democrats this year. Maybe it is just me and my naturally contrary views – but life usually tends to fight conventional wisdom and shatter the best laid plans and expectations.