Comments on: The Obidenama Poll Crash Is Beginning – Updated

By: Terrye

Terrye — Fri, 05 Sep 2008 21:14:06 +0000

I think the Democrats and the media outsmarted themselves.

The idiots.

By: Redteam

Redteam — Fri, 05 Sep 2008 20:15:30 +0000

when the full effect of both Palin’s speech and McCains speeches are included, I think the Dems are gonna be in full fledged panic. That’s why I think Obama consented to go on O’Reilly, much as Hillary did when she started to realize it was game over.
I’ve never thought McCain was a good speaker, well, I watched his entire speech last night and it was great. He hit all the spots and hit them well. While it was a prepared speech, it almost seemed off the cuff and that’s what he’s best at. I’m actually beginning to feel as if the Repubs have a chance to win in Nov and maybe the coattails will be good and Congress may not be a big disaster.

By: Duhize

Duhize — Fri, 05 Sep 2008 19:18:54 +0000

What the Rasmussen poll means is that Obama averaged a 5 point lead over 3 days – since it went down to 2 points in 1 day that means mccain was leading the third day by at least 4 points. If that holds Obama and the whole dem party will implode. I think Sarah Palin also has helped the GOP on the congressional level. The hateful left may be in for there worst nightmare… a loss in November – which after all the lies and hateful things they have done and said would serve them right.

By: MarkN

MarkN — Fri, 05 Sep 2008 16:54:30 +0000

The Rasmussen Poll seems to be more stable than the Gallup poll because of his use of leaners. Also, Rasmussen uses his party affiliation for his sample design. I suspect that McCain/Palin will do better when Scott’s August party affiliation numbers are final and included in the poll because I believe you will see a closing of the gap between dem and rep.

Rasmussen only had Obama ahead by six at the apex. They didn’t have the kind of spike that Gallup had which I think is due to better quality control on the composition of Scott’s sample. The strength of party affiliation could also become a weakness if it is off materially. However, Scott Rasumssen seems to be very accurate in his party affiliation surveys. I think that the September party affiliation numbers will prove whether Palin has had any effect in this race. And they won’t be out until October. However, her favorable ratings are a good sign.

The best number I see in the Rasmussen Poll is that McCain has reached 45% without leaners which for the most part he has been stuck in the low 40s. It suggests that he is firming up his support. Now if only Palin can get those amnesty hypos to get behind retroactive immigration reform then maybe the Rep will have a fighting chance with hispanics and Asians. Whose votes they will need down ticket.