Comments on: More State Polls Coming, Turning Blue States Purple http://strata-sphere.com/blog/index.php/archives/5914 High Flying Political Debate Fri, 10 Feb 2012 04:18:24 +0000 hourly 1 http://wordpress.org/?v=3.2.1 By: The Strata-Sphere » Two States To Watch For Election Direction http://strata-sphere.com/blog/index.php/archives/5914/comment-page-1#comment-384073 The Strata-Sphere » Two States To Watch For Election Direction Tue, 16 Sep 2008 23:00:54 +0000 http://strata-sphere.com/blog/?p=5914#comment-384073 [...] More State Polls Coming, Turning Blue States Purple [...] [...] More State Polls Coming, Turning Blue States Purple [...]

]]> By: crosspatch http://strata-sphere.com/blog/index.php/archives/5914/comment-page-1#comment-380287 crosspatch Wed, 10 Sep 2008 01:04:31 +0000 http://strata-sphere.com/blog/?p=5914#comment-380287 kathie, that al-mansour connection came up recently on one of the blogs I read. I cant remember which. Might be <a href="http://www.investors.com/editorial/editorialcontent.asp?secid=1501&status=article&id=305508174916939" rel="nofollow">this one</a> kathie, that al-mansour connection came up recently on one of the blogs I read. I cant remember which. Might be this one

]]> By: kathie http://strata-sphere.com/blog/index.php/archives/5914/comment-page-1#comment-380286 kathie Wed, 10 Sep 2008 00:40:04 +0000 http://strata-sphere.com/blog/?p=5914#comment-380286 I found this at "Freerepublic", does anybody know about this connection? Obama doesn't seem to have been vetted at all. Barack Obama & Khalid Al-Mansour (YouTube video) 09/09/2008 5:12:56 PM PDT · by WhistlingPastTheGraveyard · 55+ views YouTube ^ | 9/9/2008 | WPtG Barack Obama & Khalid Al-Mansour (VIDEO) I found this at “Freerepublic”, does anybody know about this connection? Obama doesn’t seem to have been vetted at all.

Barack Obama & Khalid Al-Mansour (YouTube video)
09/09/2008 5:12:56 PM PDT · by WhistlingPastTheGraveyard · 55+ views
YouTube ^ | 9/9/2008 | WPtG
Barack Obama & Khalid Al-Mansour (VIDEO)

]]> By: crosspatch http://strata-sphere.com/blog/index.php/archives/5914/comment-page-1#comment-380284 crosspatch Tue, 09 Sep 2008 23:33:39 +0000 http://strata-sphere.com/blog/?p=5914#comment-380284 Oh, oh ... according to Drudge, Obama basically insinuated that Sarah Palin was a "pig". Holy crap, that guy is having a serious meltdown. The wheels are falling right off the cart. Oh, oh … according to Drudge, Obama basically insinuated that Sarah Palin was a “pig”. Holy crap, that guy is having a serious meltdown. The wheels are falling right off the cart.

]]> By: MerlinOS2 http://strata-sphere.com/blog/index.php/archives/5914/comment-page-1#comment-380282 MerlinOS2 Tue, 09 Sep 2008 22:13:09 +0000 http://strata-sphere.com/blog/?p=5914#comment-380282 The empty suit with all sorts of baggage around his campaign and a road kill from being thrown under the bus that is in the double digits don't help him at all. Rumors of fund raising issues won't help him either. Even with all the noise of the nutroots they are only a small part of the voter base and Obama is even more left of center than the other two who lost before him. If Obama crashes big, the nutroots may finally shatter into a million pieces. Their ant war protests drew only modest numbers and then they had to do free rock concerts to draw from the crowds. All in all it looks like perhaps the pendulum is starting to swing. The empty suit with all sorts of baggage around his campaign and a road kill from being thrown under the bus that is in the double digits don’t help him at all.

Rumors of fund raising issues won’t help him either.

Even with all the noise of the nutroots they are only a small part of the voter base and Obama is even more left of center than the other two who lost before him.

If Obama crashes big, the nutroots may finally shatter into a million pieces.

Their ant war protests drew only modest numbers and then they had to do free rock concerts to draw from the crowds.

All in all it looks like perhaps the pendulum is starting to swing.

]]> By: Trent_Telenko http://strata-sphere.com/blog/index.php/archives/5914/comment-page-1#comment-380278 Trent_Telenko Tue, 09 Sep 2008 21:37:28 +0000 http://strata-sphere.com/blog/?p=5914#comment-380278 AJ, Yow! Obama is down by 20% points in NC! See: http://abclocal.go.com/wtvd/story?section=news/politics&id=6380065 AJ,

Yow!

Obama is down by 20% points in NC!

See:

http://abclocal.go.com/wtvd/story?section=news/politics&id=6380065

]]> By: AJStrata http://strata-sphere.com/blog/index.php/archives/5914/comment-page-1#comment-380277 AJStrata Tue, 09 Sep 2008 21:33:20 +0000 http://strata-sphere.com/blog/?p=5914#comment-380277 Trent, Agree 100%. That is why I focus on the long term trend (which is accurate) and I see O-Bomba crashing in a lot of states. Hopefully will post on this trend in a couple of days. Cheers, AJStrata Trent,

Agree 100%. That is why I focus on the long term trend (which is accurate) and I see O-Bomba crashing in a lot of states. Hopefully will post on this trend in a couple of days.

Cheers, AJStrata

]]> By: Trent_Telenko http://strata-sphere.com/blog/index.php/archives/5914/comment-page-1#comment-380274 Trent_Telenko Tue, 09 Sep 2008 20:26:36 +0000 http://strata-sphere.com/blog/?p=5914#comment-380274 AJ, ALL the polling models are hosed, because they all rely on traditional polling methods. Pollsters have to use "hostile territory" methodology to get really accurate results because telemarkers have poisoned the traditional, el cheapo, polling methods. The "Hostile territory" methodology is too expensive when the news media's budget has been cut so much. Only the Presidential campaigns or the party national committees can afford them and then not very often. The state by state media polls are even worse than the national ones due to smaller sample sizes. What Ed Morrissy said on Hot Air here applies: "Polls have varying value as predictive models, but they’re better at reflecting trends. No matter what anyone wants to think about cell-phone users and ObamaNation Gen-Xers, the trends all look bad for Obama this week, and the internals look especially weak." At best, we see good trends for McCain in these states. We don't really know if he can win those states because of the effects of the two party's GOTV efforts. AJ,

ALL the polling models are hosed, because they all rely on traditional polling methods.

Pollsters have to use “hostile territory” methodology to get really accurate results because telemarkers have poisoned the traditional, el cheapo, polling methods.

The “Hostile territory” methodology is too expensive when the news media’s budget has been cut so much. Only the Presidential campaigns or the party national committees can afford them and then not very often.

The state by state media polls are even worse than the national ones due to smaller sample sizes.

What Ed Morrissy said on Hot Air here applies:

“Polls have varying value as predictive models, but they’re better at reflecting trends. No matter what anyone wants to think about cell-phone users and ObamaNation Gen-Xers, the trends all look bad for Obama this week, and the internals look especially weak.”

At best, we see good trends for McCain in these states. We don’t really know if he can win those states because of the effects of the two party’s GOTV efforts.

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