Sep 10 2008
O-Bomba Crashing With Independents
This is the year of the electoral middle. I have said many times you lose the middle you lose the election. Hyper partisanship is poison. Â Being tied to the Political Industrial Complex of Pols, Pundits and Media is poison. America wants a breath of fresh air – and they are getting it with Sarah Palin and John McCain.
Fox News is just now releasing a poll showing Obama losing 16 points with Independents, vaulting McCain/Palin into a lead at a time the Dems need to be way ahead to have any hope for November:
A substantial shift in the vote preference among independents has given John McCain a slim lead over Barack Obama after the Republican convention. Independents now break for McCain by 15 percentage points (46 percent to 31 percent) in a FOX News poll released Wednesday.
Last month, Obama had a one-point edge among independents (August 19-20, 2008).
Overall, McCain leads Obama by 45 percent to 42.
Even worse for The Messiah – the idea he will win in November is just plain gone:
There is a big change in which candidate voters think will win. In July, nearly twice as many said they thought Obama would win (51 percent to 27 percent). Today, views are evenly divided: 41 percent believe Obama will win and 40 percent say McCain.
Even worse, when the remaining undecideds are pushed to pick they go 4-1 for McCain:
The results show undecided voters may be more apt to pull the lever for McCain. A 46 percent plurality of undecideds would rather get advice from McCain — that’s nearly four times as many as the 12 percent that pick Obama.
State polls moving to the right, independents and women moving to the right – all horrible news for O-Bomba. Poll internals here.
Look.at.this:
Intrade Market Prices for General Election: McCain vs. Obama
Intrade Real Time Quotes
50.4 48.9
that’s MCCAIN OVER o.
from realclearpolitics.com
And it’s $5.2 million on McCain to win vs. $3.8 million for o… so far.
WHOO HOOOOO! POW WOW!
I hope this keeps up. I want Obama to go away.
Ah Hah – Plays the gitfiddle does he? Many thanks to the ladies of the house for the doing the early wake up. Frankly, all the best to the bunch of you back there.
[…] Also see AJ Strata […]
You know, I have never had much confidence in the polls. But how can it be that the republican base is rejuvenated as never before, women who never registered and voted are doing so, women are leaving the dem party in droves, dems are leaving the dem party in droves all voting for McCain but the divide in the polls is still so small? We won the election without these people by 3 million votes in 2004 so really the divide should be a whole lot larger that this. I still find it incomprehensible that so many will vote for Obama. Are they not listening to what he is saying or are they the ones who will beneift for his largesse?
[…] here, here and here). Â There are also polls showing a big shift with independents (see here and here) and polls showing McCain taking a sizeable chunk of Democrats (see here). The problem is these […]