Some of these sample rates look very, what should I say optimistic for Obama, … if any population should be discounted as unlikely history tells us that it will be the younger voters.

poll internals show a party affiliation advantage to Democrats of +10. If leaners are forced to make a choice, the Democrats have a +16 advantage. That is quite simply hogwash. The average advantage of Democrats vs. Republicans in the last 6 or so nati…

That is why “get out the vote” efforts are so important. It is actual votes cast that get a candidate elected. Being a member of a party and being in the majority of opinion polls means nothing if you don’t get to the polls and cast your vote. Republicans tend to vote in greater percentage than Democrats.

AJ if I am correct you could start voting for the Presidential Election last Friday.

The percentage of voters in both primaries and general elections is growing as to number of early voters.

Growth is both in existing early voter states and new states adding the capacity.

Va opened last Friday and a half dozen more states opened this week.

All those voters (40 – 60% of registered voters now vote early) are not available for exit poll surveys.

That is part of the reason the much talked about Kerry exit polls had little to do with the final vote tally.