That should have read:

It is very doubtful that the Republican STYLE “mirco-targeting” GOTV effort will work without *real locals*, as opposed to urban and college town Democrats.

Maybe. Maybe not. But thousands will show up early to vote for Sarah. If McC wins he has Sarah to thank.

…

A friend of mine (who was a political operative “semi-pro”) has speculated that Democrats “hit the wall” as far as Democratic turn out in heavily Democratic areas (urban areas & college towns) was concerned in 2004.

And that it would take several election cycles to build up competitive Democratic Party local organization in the exurban areas that Republicans used to take Ohio and other swing states. Based on what he said when he saw that piece, it looks like the Obama voter turn out machine is not turning out early Democratic voters in Ohio because it does not have real local grass roots.

I think the Obama campaign’s reliance on phone banks pointed to in that story is both surprising and a mistake given the anti-telemarketer backlash with the public.

The Republican GOTV machine in 2004 did not rely on cold calling, it relied on local people going out, meeting other local people they knew or met through church and taking them to the polls.

It looks like the Obama GOTV machine is not doing that as far as early voting in Ohio is concerned. It is very doubtful that the Republican “mirco-targeting” GOTV effort will work without *real locals*, as opposed to urban and college town Democrats.

We shall see what election day holds in the ex-urbs and elsewhere, but what we are seeing now even in heavily Democratic areas of Ohio is not what Obama marketed about his GOTV machine.