Oct 21 2008

Bob Beckel Sees Problems With Obama’s Inevitability

Published by at 2:16 am under 2008 Elections,All General Discussions

Bob Beckel, Democrat ‘strategist’ and media blow hard, sees a threat to The Messiah:

After Iowa, polls showed Obama in the lead in New Hampshire. And when Obama won New Hampshire, we were told, the primary would be over. Except the primary wasn’t over. It wasn’t over at all. Clinton won New Hampshire, and the primary lasted until early June. Clinton won every big state except Obama’s home state of Illinois. She positively trounced Obama in states like Pennsylvania and Kentucky and West Virginia. She won Ohio by nine percentage points.

My expectations are that West Virginia and Ohio are rapidly drifting back into McCain’s column (as is Florida). Recently polls there have been heading away from Obama, and Obama did TERRIBLY in those states in the primary. All the Pennsylvania polls rely on the way too lopsided voter registration by party, which belies the real impressions on the ground there (Kerry won by a measly 2.5%, not the 15% party ID affiliation on the rosters). 

I think Beckel sees some internal data and is trying to warn the younger, less reliable voters to not be cocky or complacent. Lots of luck there, they aren’t reliable for a reason. And this comes on the heels of Obama giving the same warning this weekend. We will know more by Friday, but something has the Dems a bit twitchy.

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4 responses so far

4 Responses to “Bob Beckel Sees Problems With Obama’s Inevitability”

  1. Snapple says:
    October 21, 2008 at 2:28 am

    There is a writer named Jack Cashill who is making the case in a series of articles that the bomber Bill Ayers ghosted Senator Obama’s Dreams From My Father.

    Bill Ayers is a very manipulative psychopath. He can suck your brains right out of your head. He may have gotten his hooks into Senator Obama just as he did young people years ago.

    Links here:

    http://legendofpineridge.blogspot.com/2008/10/did-bill-ayers-ghostwrite-senator.html

  2. dave m says:
    October 21, 2008 at 4:20 am

    Anybody believe this Obama campaign suspension story?
    I don’t. My wife said I was being horrible and cynical. I thought
    “yes – that’s what you’re supposed to think”.

    Today is a significant day in the Berg lawsuit challenging Obama’s
    credentials as to his eligibility to run for President.
    The story is over at americasright . com – it’s lawyer stuff.
    It’s written by law student Jeff Schreiber, here’s a little snippet:

    “Unless permitted by the court or allowed pursuant to a written agreement between the parties, the party served with the request must serve a response within 30 days. How serious is a failure to respond? This, from PreTrial, by Thomas A. Mauet:

    The automatic provision of Rule 36 makes it a formidable weapon because inertia or inattentiveness can have an automatic, and usually devastating, consequence. Hence, there is one cardinal rule for practice under this provision: Make sure you respond and serve the response within the 30-day period.

    Given the “usually devastating” consequence of failure to respond in time to a request for admissions such as those served upon Obama and the DNC on September 15, just what were some of the admissions that Berg asserts Barack Obama and the DNC have, at least procedurally, admitted to?”

    The article is considerably longer. See what you think.

  3. MerlinOS2 says:
    October 21, 2008 at 5:30 am

    Politico reports

    In theory, exit polls should match election results. But for all the care that goes into conducting accurate exit polls, errant results aren’t completely uncommon. Respected polling analyst Mark Blumenthal found that during the Democratic primaries this year, preliminary exit polls overestimated Obama’s strength in 18 of 20 states, by an average error of 7 percentage points, based on leaked early results.

    The reason? Obama’s supporters were younger, better educated and often more enthusiastic than Hillary Clinton’s, meaning they were more likely to participate in exit polls.

  4. crosspatch says:
    October 21, 2008 at 11:38 am

    I heard the most amazing story on the radio just now while dropping the kids off at school. Obama apparently wants to create a “global war on poverty” funded by US tax dollars and managed by the UN! He wants to take my paycheck and spread it around to people who aren’t even US Citizens. And he wants it managed by the most corrupt organization in history.

    America, be darned careful what you wish for.