Nov 02 2008
Will historians look back on this election on ponder exactly what was it that pushed a centrist like McCain into the White House over liberal Obama? If so they may find this little ditty emblematic of where Obama stumbled (H/T Powerline).
And while listening to this note that McCain’s internal polls indicate he will win all the traditional Bush red states, and probably pick up PA as well.
“McCain is in a good position to win every red state,” Black said. “Plus he is probably going to win Pennsylvania and Iowa.”
Back at the end of June I noted how it should be mathematically impossible for Obama to win. This was before the Palin factor came into view:
The calculus required for Obama to win enough votes against John McCain appears to be based on fantasy math. Â There are times were things just cannot line up, no matter how much people wish they could. But Obama has to knit together a coalition which is impossible to because each side is repulsed by the other, and McCain just doesnâ€™t represent the kind of political enemy required to push these opposing groups together.Â
There is no stable policy configuration Obama can put together to win. No matter what he does he causes upheaval and loses support. Â Either he appeases the far left, sending moderates to McCain, or he appeases the moderates sending the far left into a tirade, ending their support and sending moderates to McCain where they will feel more welcomed.
Obama almost pulled it off until he met Joe The Plumber and let slip his views, confirmed in a 2001 interview that clearly indicates his desire to take from those who worked hard and succeeded to give to those who missed their opportunities laid before them in this great country. In the end Obama did what I said he would, he tried to appease to his liberal base, and he repulsed the moderate left into the McCain camp.
McCain, by selecting Palin, energized the conservative base and signaled America he would look to Main Street for answers, not DC – where Obama has now become just another pol.