http://gatewaypundit.blogspot.com/2008/11/obamedia-alert-minnesota-significantly.html

http://gatewaypundit.blogspot.com/2008/11/obamedia-alert-minnesota-significantly.html

excerpt:

You can tell the Obama supporters on the street, though. They look really worried. Word’s spreading fast here that Obama’s going to lose — the big Reifenstahl-styled rally Obama planned for Grant Park has been downgraded, according to police we know. Instead of one million people coming out to hear his concession speech tonight, the city is now expecting only “tens of thousands”. The world’s biggest celebrity doesn’t seem to be drawing the crowd he hoped.

http://hillbuzz.wordpress.com/2008/11/04/word-in-chicago-is-spreading-obama-loss-is-expected-grant-park-rally-downgraded-to-tens-of-thousands-instead-of-the-million-obama-promised/

excerpt:

The sense among some GOP folks on the ground is that the turnout in heavily African-American precincts in some of Ohio’s cities has been light today, as of midafternoon, because of so many partaking of early voting. They see that as a reasonably good sign, that the Obama get-out-the-vote operation has hit its limit. These sources have been telling me for a few weeks now that they think McCain will overperform Bush’s 2004 performance and that the Republican candidate’s margin of victory will be greater than the two percent four years ago.

http://campaignspot.nationalreview.com/post/?q=NjA3NGMwYjI0NDU3MzEwZjg4YTNhMmUwNzUzNzZjMmM=

Signs, including early exit polling, are looking decent for John McCain pulling off a surprise comeback win in Virginia. There’s not a lot of hard data at this point, but of the previously red states that the Obama campaign put a full court press on Virgina was the prime battleground. Going into today it was anywhere from Obama up 5% to a tossup, so a McCain win would be a dramatic reversal. Late breakers in Virgina are going to McCain and his success will depend on winning Loudoun and Prince William counties convincingly, which I think is a possibility.

http://wizbangblog.com/content/2008/11/04/will-virginia-turn-the-election-for-mccain.php

Unless there is another DJ who commented I have no idea what you are talking about. I mentioned how many people I saw at the polls. Nothing about being scared of McCain, or Obama being a marxist. And there is no way to read that between the lines of what I wrote. Sit down before you hurt yourself.

If turnout is as high as it looks, and the anti-Obama vote is as strong as it looks, I don’t see Obama winning.

The problem with RPC is it mixes polls that use historic trends and some wild polls out this year which assume Obama will create a dem egde 2-3 times what has ever been seen before.

This means the historic high mark of +4% in dem turnout produces a tie, then assuming +8-12% dem turnout gives Obama a 5-9% lead.

I don’t think anyone alive has seen that kind of edge. With the enormous turnout we see today, the GOP, Indies and Dems are coming out in huge numbers – which means dems could hope for a +4 at best (and I doubt that).

When you mix these shoddy polls with traditional polls and average them you get skewed averages. This is what RCP has done this year. They have not put a quality filter on the polls they use.

What in the world are you babbling on about? LOL!