Jun 22 2009
The stage is set, the pieces are in motion, the bets are “all in” for both sides now in Iran. The freedom fighters have their martyr in the form of a young 27 year woman shot down in the streets. Her blood drenched face a rallying point for a nation. Their leaders have called for continuation of the protests, have called on the regime leaders to dialogue. They are not going away until they get some of that Hope and Change. This is the irresistible force
On the other side is the Iranian thugocracy , now fully in the open without any pretext of a perfect Islam guiding the hands of those in power. They have admitted to massive voting irregularitiesÂ across the country, they only quibble on how massive. Their Basij thugs have been the ones on the front lines killing their people, but now the Revolutionary Guard has determined they must act before the freedom marchers win. They have threatened even more violence against their Muslims in the name of Allah. And now, those who were vetted by the Mullahs as worthy to lead the nation of Iran and, therefore, be on the ballot for President are claimed to be criminals and terrorists.
The latest actions of the Iranian Regime are acts of desperation. They have rightfully lost the support of the people, and the ruling clerics are splintering. The efforts to stop the momentum of the uprising is reaching a violent crescendo. And the government security forces are starting to fall. Gateway Pundit had this post up with video of the Basij getting their just deserts.
And Andrew Sullivan has this post up showing the security forces trying to hold back demonstrators – with some tense moments of a stand off. But at some point the will of the government forces breaks and they run in retreat as the crowds run in advance.
If this repeats itself across Iran, there will be a new day on Earth. A new nation will have a chance to throw off its oppressors and have a chance at freedom. We are possibly witnessing a major historic moment play out in Iran.
Major Update: Has the Muslim-on-Muslim violence hit the point where there is no way for the current Iranian Regime to survive in its current form?
Folks, this is huge. Huge. A report from Saudi Arabia’sÂ al-Arabiya,Â Iranian clerics seek supreme leader alternative, indicates that Rafsanjani is seeking to eliminate the Supreme Leader. Not just the man, but the position and role presiding over Iranian politics and the Iranian society.
Religious leaders are considering an alternative to the supreme leader structure after at least 13 people were killed in the latest unrest to shake Tehran and family members of Ayatollah Rafsanjani were arrested amid calls by former President Mohammad Khatami for the release of all protesters.
Iran’s religious clerks in Qom and members of the Assembly of Experts, headed by former President Mahmoud Ahmedinejad, are mulling the formation of an alternative collective leadership to replace that of the supreme leader, sources in Qom told Al Arabiya on condition of anonymity.
That is a serious turn of events. Let’s hope momentum begins to build behind it. What is most interesting is the effect the democracy in Iraq is having on these discussions:
The discussions have taken place in a series of secret meetings convened in the holy city of Qom and included Jawad al-Shahristani, the supreme representative of Ayatollah Ali al-Sistani, who is the foremost Shiite leader in Iraq.
An option being considered is the resignation of Mahmoud Ahmadinejad as Iran’s president following condemnation by the United States and other European nations for violence and human rights violations against unarmed protestors.
Sistani’s appeal does not end at the Iraqi border, as Iranians increasingly observe his leadership with interest and fondness. Some are “intrigued by the more freewheeling experiment in Shi’ite empowerment taking place across the border in Iraq,” which is fundamentally different in approach than the Iranian theocratic brand of dictated observance and obedience. The Boston Globe’s Anne Barnard reports that within Tehran’s own central bazaar, “an increasing number of merchants are sending their religious donations, a 20 percent tithe expected from all who can spare it, to Iraq’s most senior Shi’ite cleric.”
Clearly, the same cleric in Iraq who disabled Moqtada Sadr’s Mahdi Militia movement and supported the Iraqi democracy is playing a key role in how Iran may get out of its current bloody turmoil. If this comes to pass, it will not be just Obama’s speech in Cairo, but the stage that was set in the region, at a huge cost of blood and treasure, by President George Bush as well.