Trend lines in polls are the only thing worth watching in October. In the Michigan Senate race check out RCP and Stabenow’s drop from +22 in Sep to +4 today and you will see a classic trend that does not bode well for the Dems. I did a rolling three poll average from Sept to […]

I predicted last year Republican Michael Steele would win MD’s open Senate seat. The fact is the black community in MD is not going to vote in another lame white guy when they have Steele on the ballot, with the best campaign commercials ever produced. And now we see a poll showing a tie and […]

Update: One really has to questions polls which ignore the Battleground Poll’s finding that the country is 61% conservative verses 34% liberal. Without an accurate model the polls are junk. – End Update. If you look at the top 40 GOP at-risk house seats at RCP one would think the Democrats have a good chance […]

Further signs the liberals may be in for let down this election is that their message is not generating donations. The flow of money is always the best indicator of what ideas are succeeding. And in this election Reps hold the edge in attracting investments in our nation’s future. Given the GOP edge in Get […]

While we head to the polls, we need to understand what voices and forces will be unleashed if Democrats get even a marginal victory this November. We know the Dems will bow to their liberal feverswamp base and repeal all Bush’s tax cuts. We know Democrats will try and surrender Iraq to Al Qaeda so […]

The Dems and their liberal news media enablers are putting an aweful lot of hope and hype into the fact they keep saying their base is more fired up. Yes, their base is much more emotional and borderline out of control. Their run rampant on silly conspiracy theories about a country using or staging terrorist […]

One of the reasons I am not so sure of a Democrat take over is there are no centrist voices leading the Democrats. In fact, the Democrat party has been distilling itself down to its far left core for years. Gone are strong centrist Democrats John Breaux and Zell Miller. And with these more moderating […]

Seems Bush and Rove share my confidence that the expected Republican electorial route will not happen [H/T RCP]. Rove is apparently predicting only a loss of 8 seats on the House, and I am still predicting only one loss seat. To me the polls have only been tightening and getting into the 3% range were, […]

Well, the media has been able to create the impression Mark Foley represents the GOP in some recent polls out. The range of lead for the Dems is between 13 and 23 points (A href=”http://i.a.cnn.net/cnn/2006/images/10/09/rel24a.pdf”>CNN, USA Today/Gallup, ABC News/WaPo, CBS News – H/T TCP). Surprisingly, the usually left leaning CBS News poll is one of […]

All you need to know about the accuracy of Zogby Polls is right here.