The ‘home town” of our young and inexperienced president is becoming a perfect example of what this election cycle is all about. The early voting trends in the larger Chicago area are indicating a horrible election for Democrats across the nation: Let’s look at early voting, for instance, and the fact that for the first […]

It seems the big October surprise, meant to influence this year’s US elections, comes from traitorous foreigners who (a) got their hands on 100’s of thousands of classified military documents and (b) dumped them on the public 12 days before a pivotal election. The whistle-blowing website WikiLeaks today released a trove of classified reports that […]

While the GOP still has the enthusiasm advantage, the Dem’s GOTV apparatus is also in full gear. Even with the GOTV gearing up, beating the GOP enthusiasm (more like angry rejection in this cycle) is hard to overcome. Emotion does not outperform process. It is the difference between running a play but failing to ‘win […]

A few outlier polls and everyone thinks the dynamic sent in motion over the past two years of arrogant DC liberals running amok has just disappeared in one week. Very fanciful, if not fictional. Data is meant to be integrated and balanced, not over reacted to at each data point. This is how we get […]

Folks, polls are fickle things. One PPP poll showing significantly more Democrat turnout than 2008 and 2006 is not a trend. It is shoddy polling. Then another PA polling group comes out and announces “Joe Sestak Has Lead” – even while the results are a statistical tie at best (+/- 5%). That same hyper-ventilated poll […]

We are getting actual data now due to early voting, and it shows a GOP enthusiasm blow out when compared to either proportions of voter registration rolls or proportions of votes in previous elections. The first indication we have of an enormous wave is in PA, where Politico is reporting early voting is swinging heavily […]

A new Survey USA poll out shows long term incumbent Boxer in serious trouble. Even in a normal year any incumbent polling below 50% is in trouble, and when polling near or below 45% is typically not going to pull it out (because 55% of the voters have already decided to not vote for the […]

This is the way election sites should be set up in the internet age. This North Carolina Transparency Project has incredible site to quickly review the electoral make up and status for the state. It concisely communicates an incredible wealth of information. All states should be producing something like this. For example, you can compare […]

Lot’s of head shaking going on with PPP’s ‘unique’ senate poll in PA. PPP has Sestak jumping to a one point lead over Toomey, after months of trailing. However, Jim Geraghty noted a very strange turnout model in the late PPP poll, with Dems out performing their 2008 turnout by a whopping 4%! In 2008 […]

You throw one down and vote ’em out, 98 Democrat seats on the wall! With two weeks remaining until Election Day, the political map has expanded to put Democrats on the run across the country – with 99 Democratic-held House seats now in play, according to a POLITICO analysis, and Republicans well in reach of […]