Update: Hotline has compiled a list of Dem House seats currently polling under 50% for the incumbent and they have tallied 66 such instances! And a staggeringly high number of Democratic incumbents are below the 50 percent mark, including members in much of the polling conducted by Democratic firms released to counteract the GOP narrative. […]

Fox News is out with some senate polls which should shift another state into the GOP column in the RCP average. First off, West-by-golly-Virginia: Deep resistance to Obama’s agenda has put a West Virginia Senate seat once thought to be safe territory for Democrats in serious jeopardy. A new Fox News battleground state poll on […]

Update: A new WaPo/ABC News poll shows the same trend Cost notes below – massive rejection of the Dems by Independents: Meanwhile, independents continue to lean heavily toward the GOP in their voting intentions, a sharp change from both 2006 and 2008. Among independent voters most likely to cast ballots this year, 53 percent say […]

I missed the launch of the Gallup likely voter generic ballot numbers earlier today (playing Mr. Mom to the twins), but it was worth the wait (click to enlarge). I still cannot fathom the impact of these numbers on House, Senate and Governor races, but I guarantee you no pollster’s current turnout models have been […]

Update: Jay Cost has some alarming numbers of his own today, showing how independents now favor the GOP 42-30%. That kind of one sided support, combined with an enthusiasm edge with the anti-democrat (anti-big-government) side of the equation is a good hint for what Gallup could show today. – end update I am waiting to […]

Update: Reader Lurker9876 strikes again with this excellent shot from Doug Ross comparing the crowds between the leftist “One Nation” rally yesterday and the Beck rally last month – not even close. I was worried that the “One Nation” rally picture may have been taken early in the morning, before the rally took off. But […]

While I tend to watch the RCP senate map to see where the November elections are heading, I think the Pollster.com senate picture is actually more accurate. The snapshot below (click to enlarge) is from today, and it represents the current state of play in the Senate much better in my opinion. Pollster.com shows the […]

OK, this election year could be more than a once-in-a-lifetime kind of year. It could be a once-in-forever, if what Jay Cost is reporting about Gallup’s ‘likely voter‘ version of its congressional generic question is accurate: Our latest measure for the week of Sept. 20-26 shows Republicans with a 20-percentage-point lead over Democrats in terms […]

There was probably a good reason some of the Tea Party groups in DE stayed away from Christine O’Donnell and refused to support her. All recent evidence shows O”Donnell has incredible trouble with the truth, and that she bends the rules and misrepresents constantly. She is beyond a serial liar, she just can’t stop herself […]

Larry Sabato is out with updated projections for the 2010 election cycle and things keeping getting worse for the Dems. In the House, Sabato has moved 10 races from ‘toss up‘ to ‘leans GOP‘ – all of them Dems. Long time incumbent: 13 term Kanjorski of PA 11 is on this list, as is long […]