Nothing to say but – watch it

First off, I detected an error in my tables from the last two days in the last row computing total votes to date. This happened when I added the in-person voting to the tally. Anyway, I look at the percentages more than the totals and it really did not make a difference. So today Trump […]

My day job has been very busy so I cannot get these posts out as early as I would like.  And I have had to just not do the general election posts for two days now (hope to catch up here soon). But as goes FL, so goes the entire election – so I want […]

Two  recent “news” media polls are suffering from serious over sampling of Democrats (hard to call these organizations “news” media anymore, now that we know they are the propaganda arm of the DNC and political elite). ABC News came out with a 12% Clinton lead with a 9% sampling edge in Democrats over Republicans: METHODOLOGY […]

This is the 7th day I have looked at the general election polls for POTUS at RCP. For the 7th day the race looks to be a statistical tie or toss up. Today we have 4 polls: This is basically an uncomplicated assessment of the general election taken each day by averaging the % of […]

My previous post is here. In Obama’s 2012 reelection the Democrats produced more “early voting” ballots in Florida than the GOP did (obviously these are not votes for a candidate, but simply ballots by party ID). They led the GOP by 3% last cycle. Florida [2012] Votes: 4.3 million Democrats: 43% Republicans: 40% That edge […]

This is the 6th day I have looked at the general election polls for POTUS at RCP. For the 6th day the race looks to be a statistical tie or toss up. Today we have 4 polls , with one from ABC News that looks like an outlier (click to enlarge): This is basically an […]

This is the fifth day I have looked at the general election polls for POTUS at RCP. My previous posts were: Oct 21, 2016 Oct 20, 2016 Oct 18 & Oct 19, 2016 This is basically an uncomplicated assessment of the general election taken each day by averaging the % of the general election polls […]

In Obama’s 2012 reelection the Democrats produced more “early voting” ballots in Florida than the GOP did (obviously these are not votes for a candidate, but simply ballots by party ID). They led the GOP by 3% last cycle. Florida Votes: 4.3 million Democrats: 43% Republicans: 40% That edge in early voting no doubt helped […]

Another day closer to the election, another quick look at the General Election polls and where they may be heading.  As with the prior three days, we are looking at the vote totals for Clinton and Trump in today’s polls (10/21/16): HRC averaging 42% Trump averaging 42.5% Difference 0.5% (Trump) Today there is no change […]