Archive for the 'All General Discussions' Category

Nov 08 2016

Is Democrat Turnout Cratering?

Published by under 2016 Elections

Is the Democrat turnout fading? I ask this because I now see three big signs this may be happening. The first is an update this morning from Colorado on the early voting there (Source of this data is here): There is a clear drop off in Democrat voting, along with a clear uptick in Independents. […]

One response so far

Nov 08 2016

AJStrata’s Prediction for 2016 Election – Brexit In America?

Let’s just say up front I have no clear indication which way this election will go today.  We are in uncharted waters in terms of energy of the candidate’s supporters, the intimidation and violence, the candidates themselves and their baggage and if course turnout models. The polls have such huge error bars on them I […]

7 responses so far

Nov 07 2016

Late Breaking FL Poll Raises Alarm Bells For Clinton

Earlier today Drudge had up an alert on how Florida’s Early Voting datas howed Trump performing better than Romney (the same data I have been using for weeks now). I linked to the alarm in an update to my latest Florida Early Voting post this morning. In that alert Drudge also pointed to a new […]

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Nov 07 2016

Colorado Early Voting 11_07_16: Dem Turnout Cratering

Source of this data is here. In my last post on November 4th, I noted that the Democrat Early Voting  numbers were dropping off, while the GOP voting remained steady and the remaining groups (dominated by unaffiliated voters – a.k.a. “Independents”) where growing. Colorado does not release their results over the weekend, so I was […]

2 responses so far

Nov 07 2016

FL Early Voting 11_07_16: GOP Voting Drops Off, But Independents Continue Strong

Update: Drudge confirms my analysis that Trump is in far less of a voting hole in Florida than Romney was the day before the election in 2012: FLORIDA SHOCK: TRUMP OUTPERFORMS ROMNEY BY 130,000 IN EARLY VOTING! Mon Nov 07 2016 12:03:12 ET **World Exclusive** Data obtained by the DRUDGE REPORT shows presidential underdog Donald […]

6 responses so far

Nov 06 2016

FL Early Voting 11_06_16: Dems Have Great Saturday, Does Not Move Overall Numbers

As usual, the source for this data is here. The Democrats had a great Saturday, mostly because the GOP In-Person vote dropped off significantly, not due to a major shift in Dem performance. The good news for Trump is the Unaffiliated (Independent) voters maintained their pace, which helped keep the overall numbers locked in. As […]

7 responses so far

Nov 05 2016

FL Early Voting 11_05_16: Dems Squeak Out To Tiny Lead

The Democrats have finally overtaken the GOP in Florida with the final vote tallies. This was due to a strong showing Friday. Dems lead the GOP by 7,280 ballots. They lead the In-Person vote by 2.5% while the GOP leads the Mail-In vote by 2.9%.  The In-Person voters have outnumbered the Mail-In voters on a […]

4 responses so far

Nov 04 2016

The Blue Is Draining Out Of The Electoral Map!

Published by under 2016 Elections

I am so close to predicting a landslide for Trump …. but it will have to wait the weekend to see if the current trends hold up and the dam has broken. The big news on Drudge today is a tied race in Michigan: The Michigan statewide poll revealed Trump is now dead even with Clinton, […]

4 responses so far

Nov 04 2016

Colorado Early Voting 11_04_16: Dem Voter Turnout Dropping

The source of this data his here. As we go into the final weekend before election day, we have some very interesting numbers in the Colorado Early Voting tallies. The Dems had jumped out to a big lead as a percentage of votes cast in the beginning. But they have been slowly dropping off as […]

4 responses so far

Nov 04 2016

FL Early Voting 11_04_16: All Tied Up!

Published by under 2016 Elections

The source for this data is here There are only 3 days of In-Person early voting left in Florida (ends Nov 6th). The In-Person voting surpassed the longer running Mail-In voting in terms of total votes 2 days ago, on November 2nd. Today, heading into the home stretch, the number of GOP ballots submitted and […]

One response so far

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