H/T Drudge As far as October surprises go, this is probably one of the most nuclear: “In previous congressional testimony, I referred to the fact that the Federal Bureau of Investigation (FBI) had completed its investigation of former Secretary Clinton’s personal email server. Due to recent developments, I am writing to supplement my previous testimony,” […]

Here we are 4 days into the In-Person early voting in Florida (it runs until Nov 6th) and the tables are turning on the Democrats and Clinton. On the first day of In-Person voting, the Democrats jumped out to a 9% lead in ballots. Tuesday that lead had shrunk to 5%. It was 4% on […]

First off, I detected an error in my tables from the last two days in the last row computing total votes to date. This happened when I added the in-person voting to the tally. Anyway, I look at the percentages more than the totals and it really did not make a difference. So today Trump […]

My day job has been very busy so I cannot get these posts out as early as I would like.  And I have had to just not do the general election posts for two days now (hope to catch up here soon). But as goes FL, so goes the entire election – so I want […]

Really? What inside the beltway idiot thought this was a good idea? The Post story features anecdotes of the CASA activists working in tandem with the SEIU, the government employees union and long-time Democratic Party community organizing arm. CASA and the SEIU are using their resources to knock on doors in Virginia and Pennsylvania and […]

Update: Clinton in Broward draws tiny crowd – End Update Yesterday the In-Person early voting began in Florida and will run through November 6th.  This is distinct from the Vote-by-Mail ballot tallies we have seen up until now.  So our data table has expanded to include the early voting in person as well as the […]

Two  recent “news” media polls are suffering from serious over sampling of Democrats (hard to call these organizations “news” media anymore, now that we know they are the propaganda arm of the DNC and political elite). ABC News came out with a 12% Clinton lead with a 9% sampling edge in Democrats over Republicans: METHODOLOGY […]

This is the 7th day I have looked at the general election polls for POTUS at RCP. For the 7th day the race looks to be a statistical tie or toss up. Today we have 4 polls: This is basically an uncomplicated assessment of the general election taken each day by averaging the % of […]

My previous post is here. In Obama’s 2012 reelection the Democrats produced more “early voting” ballots in Florida than the GOP did (obviously these are not votes for a candidate, but simply ballots by party ID). They led the GOP by 3% last cycle. Florida [2012] Votes: 4.3 million Democrats: 43% Republicans: 40% That edge […]

This is the 6th day I have looked at the general election polls for POTUS at RCP. For the 6th day the race looks to be a statistical tie or toss up. Today we have 4 polls , with one from ABC News that looks like an outlier (click to enlarge): This is basically an […]