Oct
22
2016
This is the fifth day I have looked at the general election polls for POTUS at RCP. My previous posts were: Oct 21, 2016 Oct 20, 2016 Oct 18 & Oct 19, 2016 This is basically an uncomplicated assessment of the general election taken each day by averaging the % of the general election polls […]
Oct
21
2016
In Obama’s 2012 reelection the Democrats produced more “early voting” ballots in Florida than the GOP did (obviously these are not votes for a candidate, but simply ballots by party ID). They led the GOP by 3% last cycle. Florida Votes: 4.3 million Democrats: 43% Republicans: 40% That edge in early voting no doubt helped […]
Oct
21
2016
Another day closer to the election, another quick look at the General Election polls and where they may be heading. As with the prior three days, we are looking at the vote totals for Clinton and Trump in today’s polls (10/21/16): HRC averaging 42% Trump averaging 42.5% Difference 0.5% (Trump) Today there is no change […]
Oct
20
2016
I have been wondering if we are seeing some unintended consequences from the violent intimidation of Trump supporters by the Democrats. This intimidation was meant to chase off Trump voters, but what if all that happened is the supporters decided to run silent and deep, and await their turn at the ballot box. Let’s […]
Oct
20
2016
I thought it might be interesting to look at just the recent polls until the election, since where we are heading over the next three weeks is more important than were we have been over the last few months. So here is the midday snapshot of the RCP polls for today, October 20th, 2016: We […]
Oct
19
2016
Update 11:10 PM Eastern: My view: Trump did very well. Clinton failed. Watch the polls, because HRC slung mud and Trump had solid answers. Trump win. Update 11:07 PM Eastern: Sorry for the delay. Wallace: Entitlements: can we save medicare and social security/ Trump: Grow the economy and repeal Obamacare and we can save these […]
Oct
19
2016
Update_2: OK, here is the updated data and computations adding in two additional general election polls: Across all 7 polls HRC averaging 43.0% Trump averaging 40.3% Difference 2.7% That is clearly a tie race, and I did not remove the Bloomberg outlier. If I do then we get HRC averaging 42.3% Trump averaging 40.7% Difference […]
Oct
17
2016
The John Podesta emails released by Wikileaks are by and large mundane. But occasionally you find a real stunner. In this case it is clear the contents of the classified emails that Hillary sent/received over her private server where known way outside the State Department. While preparing for a big email presser, team Clinton exposes […]
Oct
17
2016
H/T to Watts Up With That for the image of the election season One thing the Wikileaks emails from John Podesta clearly show is that Hillary takes positions to get elected. Outside her need to be POTUS, she has nothing but a facade for her “public face”, and nothing but greed for her “private […]
Oct
15
2016
While the news media shoot their Big Sleaze Guns in a clearly coordinated attempted to fix the POTUS election for Hillary (think there won’t be multiple opportunities for a massive round of law suites after this debacle???), the big news this year is the collapse of Obamacare and how millions of Americans ARE LOSING their […]