Tonight I continue my monitoring of the two families of polls being produced this year by pollsters in order to provide our readers insight into how the presidential race is playing out based on two  different assumptions on turnout models. The tracking polls in the ‘traditional’ family use historic voting trends to weight things like […]

Sorry for the dearth of posts, but have to earn the rent. Some wild data out today. Many polls are drifting back to Obama slightly (more on this later in the Nightly Bi-Poller). But here are some interesting nuggets until we get there. Governor Rendell admits Obama is possibly in a statistical tie with McCain […]

I’m going to be in meetings with little opportunity to post. Remember today is for the kids, so please give the political heat a rest this evening. (click here to enlarge)

In an attempt to answer McCain’s internal poll numbers, showing McCain has a good chance to pull a hat out of a rabbit here in the final days, an Obama/Dem pollster (not sure which) tips his hand mathematically and confirms the McCain camp’s claims. Here is a item by item analysis and an important summary, […]

Tonight I continue my monitoring of the two families of polls being produced this year by pollsters in order to provide our readers insight into how the presidential race is playing out based on two  different assumptions on turnout models. The tracking polls in the ‘traditional’ family use historic voting trends to weight things like […]

Most have claimed that Obama is very good at presentation in speeches and other events, well apparently Bill Clinton agrees: “I haven’t cleared this with him and he may even be mad at me for saying this so close to the election, but I know what else he said to his economic advisers (during the […]

The race is clearly tightening, according to another new national poll out today: As the candidates make their closing arguments before the election, the race has tightened with Barack Obama now leading John McCain by 47 percent to 44 percent among likely voters, according to a FOX News poll released Thursday. Last week Obama led […]

For those interested in an expert opinion on early voting and polling drop by DJ Drummond today.

Please take the time to talk to people and explain why you are voting for whoever you are. I think the undecideds are growing in number the closer we get to election day. And this is caused because of the doubt and hesitation from information about Obama. A lot of people did not take the […]

It seems those rumors of Obama being in trouble in PA might very well be true: Obama 47, McCain 43, Undecided 9 Dates conducted: Oct. 27-28. Error margin: 4 points. Given the margin of error this is a statistical tie.