Archive for October, 2012

Oct 31 2012

State Polls Trending Towards National Polls & Romney Win

Update 3: The folks over at Powerline rip Quinnipiac and their mind boggling fictional turnout model: discount the Quinnipiac results, however, because its sample consists of 35 percent Democrats and 28 percent Republicans. That’s a better split for the Dems than they enjoyed in 2008. There is little reason to believe that the Democrats will […]

3 responses so far

Oct 30 2012

Obama’s Firewall A Sad PR Myth

The reality of the last 4 years of the Obama administration is starting to come crashing down on the left wing echo chambers in DC, NY and San Francisco. Obama’s firewall of swing states is folding like a domino set made of cheap lawn chairs. It is so bad warning signs are flaring up in […]

3 responses so far

Oct 29 2012

The Problem With Polls

Published by under All General Discussions

You know, this new poll math is pretty silly. Apparently 2+2 = +1 Obama (every time). As Ed Morrissey points out, if the turn out/sample models were aligned to some semblance of reality then it probably looks like a Romney win. If Romney wins independents by 15, and the gender gap by 2, how can […]

5 responses so far

Oct 26 2012

Was The Benghazi Attack Allowed To Transpire?

Published by under All General Discussions

What better way to rally the public to an incumbent President, prior to an election, than to raise the specter of a nation under attack? George W Bush became a rallying point after 9-11 as he threaded a serious and lasting response to one of the worst attacks on this nation in living memory. John […]

12 responses so far

Oct 25 2012

Poll Trends: Obama Fades As Romney Rises

When I look at polls-of-polls that throw everything into the ‘snapshot’, or ridiculously precise models using data that has enormous error bars, I am reminded( as any good aerospace engineer is) that precision is not always a sound goal. It is at times more important (and defensible) to  understand trends and envelopes and not waste […]

11 responses so far

Oct 24 2012

Benghazi Revelations Prove Incident Is One More Example Of Team Obama’s Incompetence

Update: The comments are flying over this news at Hot Air, with the expected frustration with the nonsense this has become: If I understand the White House’s Benghazi narrative in its current form, it boils down to this. There was no protest, but the attack was still kinda sorta spontaneous insofar as it was inspired […]

6 responses so far

Oct 23 2012

Obama’s Snark Cost Him Virginia, and Probably Colorado

Update: I really like this post at Hot Air on the multidimensional screw up this incident really is. Update: Breitbart also notes the damage Obama did in VA (H/T Hot Air) Update: Someone from across the pond (in the UK) saw it the same way I did: Well, governor, we also have fewer horses and […]

8 responses so far

Oct 22 2012

Live Blogging Final 2012 Presidential Debate

The Battle in Boca! If I had to make a prediction before things get going I would say I expect the best Obama can do is come to another draw, and not stop the current trajectory of this race. The worst he can do is implode over Benghazi and the lack of enhancing security after: […]

2 responses so far

Oct 21 2012

Obama Entering The Incumbent Danger Zone

Update: Another poll out with Obama at 47% – end update One reason I feel confident Romney will win this year is the poll standing for Obama. As I have posted many times, Obama seems to have hit a ceiling and is now highly likely to lose on November 6. While some focus on the […]

One response so far

Oct 19 2012

2012 Election: Brought To You By The Letter “O” And The Number “16,000,000,000,000

Update: Math error in this rushed post this morning. It is not $5m per person, but $50K. Fixed the math – still too much to afford. – end update I have to admit, the Alfred E Smith speeches by both candidates last night were fun. And I actually think Obama had the slightly smoother delivery. […]

6 responses so far

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