Nov
26
2012
The 9-11 Terrorist attack on our consulate in Benghazi, Libya – which resulted in the murder of our Ambassador and the death of some of his security attachment - are the roots of the unrest we now see in the Palestinian areas surrounding Israel, in Syria and in Egypt. And expect this unrest to expand since the [...]
Nov
21
2012
Hard to believe this, but after a lot of thought I think the best path forward for this nation is to let Harry Reid and President Obama have their way and let sequestration go into effect. The Tea Party/Libertarian in me has concluded that another round of deficit spending and kicking the can down the [...]
Nov
16
2012
Major Update: More pathetic details here: As the Web traffic from volunteers attempting to connect to Orca mounted, the system crashed repeatedly because of bandwidth constraints. At one point the network connection to the campaign’s data center went down—apparently because the ISP shut it off. “They told us Comcast thought it was a denial of [...]
Nov
07
2012
One of the great things about blogging is when you have an epic face plant moment, you get to post about it the next day – no matter what. /sarcasm Amazingly, President Obama ran the table of swing states – taking all but North Carolina. Color me sadly stunned. I got none right, outside NC. [...]
Nov
06
2012
10:58 PM: So, clearly I should stay away from predicting elections. Good night all, better luck next cycle. 10:44 PM: CNN notes it is coming down FL, not Ohio. Not good for Romney Post Final Update: Karl Rove pulled me in off the ledge. I had done a county-by-county analysis of Ohio and Rove is right [...]
Nov
06
2012
Dialed in Fox News at 6 PM. Everyone up beat and positive. Dialed into MSNBC, Mathews looks like he is sitting a hemorrhoid. Now MSNBC is talking big, but I am not seeing it in the faces. Update: CNN not looking too perky either…. Update: Trick Or Treat Pollsters: I am hearing on Twitter that [...]
Nov
06
2012
Edited at 3:00 & 3:07 PM Eastern, Updated 3:40 PM OK, I needed to get some confidence that Romney will win this thing, and so I took a look at the county-by-county tallies for Ohio’s early/absentee voting and did some analysis. Due to the complexity and size of the spreadsheet I am not posting the [...]
Nov
05
2012
Major Update: Romney’s internal polls also confirm my predictions: Mitt Romney is ahead by a single percentage point in Ohio, according to internal polling data provided to MailOnline by a Republican party source. Internal campaign polling completed last night by campaign pollster Neil Newhouse has Romney three points up in New Hampshire, two points up [...]
Nov
05
2012
Does anyone really think Obama has the Big Mo’ if he can’t even ignite his home town? According to the numbers, at this point in 2008, there were 260,376 early voters and 304,290 absentee voters. Now, the party maintains, there are 195,064 early voters and 46,232 absentee voters. That’s a loss of 57 percent of [...]
Nov
05
2012
I plan to come out with my predictions later today. Needless to say I have been waiting because I want to see Gallup’s last hurrah today before jumping in. But to be honest, after seeing the CNN poll today I am about ready to make Michael Barone look cautious: The poll, released earlier tonight, shows [...]
Nov
04
2012
Nevada has completed its early voting, and while Democrats have a slight lead in raw numbers, the GOP and Independents have also come out in force. Therefore, some reasonable turnout calculations show a possible Romney win. Here’s the math: Final vote tallies (ref here and here): Democrats: 307,877 (43.9%) Republicans: 259,913 (37%) Independents: 134,055 (19.1%) [...]
Nov
04
2012
Let me pose a few questions to those desperately trying not to see the momentum shift to Romney here in the final days of the 2012 election cycle. Is Florida turning redder or bluer? Is Virginia or North Carolina turning deep blue and moving out of Romney’s reach? Is Missouri once again within Obama’s reach [...]
Nov
03
2012
A slew of polls are out from WSJ/NBC/Marist showing Obama leads in Ohio and elsewhere. Only problem is the turn out models appear to be devoid of all reality. First, you will want to read this: While Obama is ahead in early raw voting numbers in Florida and North Carolina, voting expert Michael McDonald, a [...]
Nov
03
2012
Katrina was a Cat 3 hurricane when she slammed into the Gulf Coast in 2005. She was much larger, stronger and deadlier than Little ‘Ol Sandy when She made landfall Hurricane Katrina was the deadliest and most destructive Atlantic hurricane of the 2005 Atlantic hurricane season. It was the costliest natural disaster, as well as [...]
Nov
02
2012
Updates Galore! – at the end of post A very interesting study is out from a left wing think tank that may have the explanation for why the polls are all skewed to Obama compared to what people see as a Romney surge on the ground and nationally. It has to do with a migration [...]