Nevada has completed its early voting, and while Democrats have a slight lead in raw numbers, the GOP and Independents have also come out in force. Therefore, some reasonable turnout calculations show a possible Romney win. Here’s the math: Final vote tallies (ref here and here): Democrats: 307,877 (43.9%) Republicans: 259,913 (37%) Independents: 134,055 (19.1%) […]

Let me pose a few questions to those desperately trying not to see the momentum shift to Romney here in the final days of the 2012 election cycle. Is Florida turning redder or bluer? Is Virginia or North Carolina turning deep blue and moving out of Romney’s reach? Is Missouri once again within Obama’s reach […]

A slew of polls are out from WSJ/NBC/Marist showing Obama leads in Ohio and elsewhere. Only problem is the turn out models appear to be devoid of all reality. First, you will want to read this: While Obama is ahead in early raw voting numbers in Florida and North Carolina, voting expert Michael McDonald, a […]

Katrina was a Cat 3 hurricane when she slammed into the Gulf Coast in 2005. She was much larger, stronger and deadlier than Little ‘Ol Sandy when She made landfall Hurricane Katrina was the deadliest and most destructive Atlantic hurricane of the 2005 Atlantic hurricane season. It was the costliest natural disaster, as well as […]

Updates Galore! – at the end of post A very interesting study is out from a left wing think tank that may have the explanation for why the polls are all skewed to Obama compared to what people see as a Romney surge on the ground and nationally. It has to do with a migration […]

As a follow up to yesterday’s brief post (traveling again!) I was going to note a strange missing element to this cycle’s swing state debate: Missouri Where did the Show Me State go? I can remember a presidential race where MO was consider the bell-weather. See here from circa 2008: Stuart Rothenberg, editor and publisher […]

AllahPundit at Hot Air put it quite well yesterday: In other words, the dam that O’s built among early voters simply isn’t tall enough to hold back the red tide next Tuesday. Neither is the fire wall Obama built able to hold back the tide. Yesterday I posted on how the tide was turning and […]