Update: Clinton in Broward draws tiny crowd – End Update Yesterday the In-Person early voting began in Florida and will run through November 6th.  This is distinct from the Vote-by-Mail ballot tallies we have seen up until now.  So our data table has expanded to include the early voting in person as well as the […]

Two  recent “news” media polls are suffering from serious over sampling of Democrats (hard to call these organizations “news” media anymore, now that we know they are the propaganda arm of the DNC and political elite). ABC News came out with a 12% Clinton lead with a 9% sampling edge in Democrats over Republicans: METHODOLOGY […]

This is the 7th day I have looked at the general election polls for POTUS at RCP. For the 7th day the race looks to be a statistical tie or toss up. Today we have 4 polls: This is basically an uncomplicated assessment of the general election taken each day by averaging the % of […]

My previous post is here. In Obama’s 2012 reelection the Democrats produced more “early voting” ballots in Florida than the GOP did (obviously these are not votes for a candidate, but simply ballots by party ID). They led the GOP by 3% last cycle. Florida [2012] Votes: 4.3 million Democrats: 43% Republicans: 40% That edge […]

This is the 6th day I have looked at the general election polls for POTUS at RCP. For the 6th day the race looks to be a statistical tie or toss up. Today we have 4 polls , with one from ABC News that looks like an outlier (click to enlarge): This is basically an […]

This is the fifth day I have looked at the general election polls for POTUS at RCP. My previous posts were: Oct 21, 2016 Oct 20, 2016 Oct 18 & Oct 19, 2016 This is basically an uncomplicated assessment of the general election taken each day by averaging the % of the general election polls […]

In Obama’s 2012 reelection the Democrats produced more “early voting” ballots in Florida than the GOP did (obviously these are not votes for a candidate, but simply ballots by party ID). They led the GOP by 3% last cycle. Florida Votes: 4.3 million Democrats: 43% Republicans: 40% That edge in early voting no doubt helped […]

Another day closer to the election, another quick look at the General Election polls and where they may be heading.  As with the prior three days, we are looking at the vote totals for Clinton and Trump in today’s polls (10/21/16): HRC averaging 42% Trump averaging 42.5% Difference 0.5% (Trump) Today there is no change […]

  I have been wondering if we are seeing some unintended consequences from the violent intimidation of Trump supporters by the Democrats. This intimidation was meant to chase off Trump voters, but what if all that happened is the supporters decided to run silent and deep, and await their turn at the ballot box. Let’s […]

I thought it might be interesting to look at just the recent polls until the election, since where we are heading over the next three weeks is more important than were we have been over the last few months. So here is the midday snapshot of the RCP polls for today, October 20th, 2016: We […]