Tag Archive '2008 Election'

Nov 02 2008

Spread The Wealth Around

Will historians look back on this election on ponder exactly what was it that pushed a centrist like McCain into the White House over liberal Obama? If so they may find this little ditty emblematic of where Obama stumbled (H/T Powerline). And while listening to this note that McCain’s internal polls indicate he will win […]

11 responses so far

Nov 02 2008

The Amazingly Fading Obama

Just a little over a day before election day and Obama is fading fast in key battleground states and in the EC projections. A month ago Obama was projected to have a 330-175 Electoral College blow out. But now he has seen once strong battleground states drop into ties this weekend. Take VA, which is […]

4 responses so far

Nov 02 2008

More Bad Poll News For Obama

Another 2 point lead for Obama in a national poll which translates into the race being all tied up, and by the most accurate polling firm from 2004: The race tightened again Sunday as independents who’d been leaning to Obama shifted to McCain to leave that key group a toss-up. McCain also pulled even in the […]

12 responses so far

Nov 02 2008

Is This Some Kind Of Joke? McCain Landslide?

Is McCain heading towards a landslide? Is Obama going to lose New Jersey and California? Well if you believe this audio then this is what internal GOP polls are saying. A blogger pulled out the salient numbers: New Jersey: McCain leads 48 to 43, with 7% undecided. Michigan: McCain leads 44 to 42, with 10% […]

13 responses so far

Nov 02 2008

Obama Slipping In Ohio Too?

A lot of people claim there is no last minute surge for McCain – yet we see Obama slipping in PA, VA and now Ohio – with a poll showing McCain in the lead by 2%. Those who claim not to see a surge away from Obama in these final days must be looking the […]

18 responses so far

Nov 02 2008

WaPo Comes Clean On Pollster Turnout Models

Another leading polling expert, this time for the Washington Post, comes clean about the uncertainties in the voter turnout models which have produced Obama leads of +2 (a tie) to +15 in the same week from different pollsters. A must read for Americans so they understand why polls usually get the race wrong (only 1 […]

3 responses so far

Nov 02 2008

Early Voting In Wisconsin Is NOT Giving Obama Or Dems An Edge

Published by under All General Discussions

If the early voting trends are a hint of what is to come on Tuesday then the news is not great for Obama. In Wisconsin (deep blue normally) early voting is up – across the board. It is up by 25% in democrat heavy big cities, and up 40-50% in GOP havens outside the cities: […]

3 responses so far

Nov 02 2008

Now VA Swinging Towards McCain

Yesterday I noted PA was starting to drift rightward with a lot of polls showing Obama’s once commanding lead cut in half. In fact Obama lost another point in the Morning Call daily poll, now down to a 7% lead, even though Morning Call has held massive Party ID edges for the democrats (they don’t […]

4 responses so far

Nov 01 2008

Obama Wilting In PA

The polls in PA running up to the final day are nothing short of stunning. The most leftward poll out there – the Morning Call which doesn’t do any party ID weighting in its samples – has seen Obama’s leads shaved severely from somewhere around 15% to 8% (no one is keeping a history of […]

12 responses so far

Nov 01 2008

Here Comes The Final Wave Of Voters – The Undecideds

We come to it at last. The final weekend, the final push, the final group of voters to decide. And the headline news is McCain finally pulling ahead in a national poll (if only for a day). “Is McCain making a move? The three-day average holds steady, but McCain outpolled Obama today, 48% to 47%. […]

6 responses so far

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