Update: Sean Trende at RCP does a similar form of analysis, gets similar answer. Update: Those not seeing the wave are blinded by denial – so says The Hill. And The Hotline concurs. Update: Read the analysis and then come back and check out this Hillbuzz rumor about moderate Democrats energized to vote straight GOP [...]

In my previous post on the ‘most likely of voters‘ (those who requested absentee ballots and only have to submit them to transition to a ‘true voter‘ status) should not be underestimated or dismissed out of hand. The data from Nevada indicates a high probability that most pollsters are way off in their predictions for [...]

Two of Obama’s chief allies in destroying America are well on their way to being fired by the American People. As I noted in an earlier post, Pelosi may still be in Congress come January 2011, but she will be there as a has-been Speaker. Sen Harry Reid apparently will fair even worse. He will [...]

Update: Reader Lurker9876 strikes again with this excellent shot from Doug Ross comparing the crowds between the leftist “One Nation” rally yesterday and the Beck rally last month – not even close. I was worried that the “One Nation” rally picture may have been taken early in the morning, before the rally took off. But [...]

What do the VA & NJ Governor races in 2009, the MA Senate special election in January 2010, the Alaska GOP senate primary race, the NY GOP governor primary and the DE GOP senate primary race all seem to have in common? Answer: The trends of these races only became evident to the public very [...]

I don’t get Democrats and their slavish adherence to the liberals in DC. Why would anyone risk their entire life’s work to salvage Nancy Pelosi? But that is what the Speaker is asking of all Democrats, she is asking Democrats to put it all on the line to save her job: To hold the line [...]

Never has Gallup’s congressional generic poll shown such a large lead for the GOP: Republicans lead by 51% to 41% among registered voters in Gallup weekly tracking of 2010 congressional voting preferences. The 10-percentage-point lead is the GOP’s largest so far this year and is its largest in Gallup’s history of tracking the midterm generic [...]

Update: I must have been channeling Charles Krauthammer this morning: Now we know why the country has become “ungovernable,” last year’s excuse for the Democrats’ failure of governance: Who can possibly govern a nation of racist, nativist, homophobic Islamophobes? Note what connects these issues. In every one, liberals have lost the argument in the court [...]

Dick Morris has a great article out (H/T Reader Trent Telenko) noting how the Democrats are in such bad shape they need to decide, now, which congress critters to save because if they tried to save too many they could end up with even larger losses by spreading their money too thin: Take Virginia, for [...]

Alternate Title: Mosque Madness The vast Political Industrial Complex (PIC) on the left has gone stark raving mad. The latest sign of madness comes over the self proclaimed Ground Zero Mosque (GZM). The location of the GZM is integral to the developer’s plans, as is the now notorious debate on which is the more American [...]

Addendum below! Who will get the most votes in November? The party that gets the most voters to the polls. And if Colorado’s US Senate Primary is any indicator then the GOP is going to really be cruising to a crushing landslide in 2010. That’s because the Democrat primary winner took fewer votes than the [...]

As they say: “Follow the money” The Dems can claim all day long they will win in November, but that is just propaganda-speak for the gullible.  Just last week the Dems purchased $28 million in ad buys for 40 endangered D-congress-critters, ranging from freshmen to committee chairmen. That purchase represented 82% of their congressional war [...]

The one election I hoped would be the exclamation point on this year’s election fell short. This is not going to be a sure thing for November, but the tsunami rising against the Dems is not as high as one would hope. With 74% of the precincts reporting Critz is over Burns by 54% to [...]

I hate liars. We all know politician shave the truth a lot, but out-and-out lying is just plain insulting to the voters’ intelligence. We see it all the time in DC now, open lies about policies and results and the future. And then there is the gross out-and-out about being a hero of some kind, [...]

I went to the Tea Party protest last summer on the Mall. It was peaceful, festival-like gathering that welcomed the all generations of the American family. It had countless signs of outrage, but the mood of the people was respectful and energized. I have no idea about the protest yesterday, I had intended to go [...]