As usual, the source for this data is here. Yesterday Florida Democrats had a great day (technically it was on Sunday, but reported yesterday) when they cut the GOP ballot lead by 2/3rds and down to 8,912 ballots.  But as I said yesterday, one day does not a trend make. Today’s report (ballots through yesterday) […]

As always the data for this analysis comes from State of Florida. Democrats had a good weekend.  While they continue to drop off in the mail-in voting, they had a good surge with in-person voting that wiped out a significant portion of the GOP lead. What was a 24,000+ lead in GOP ballots yesterday has […]

I have been remiss in the last few posts in linking to the site where I have been pulling my data – so here it is! Today we see a pattern beginning to set in. The more people vote in FL, the more the percentages begin to freeze into place. I have not seen a […]

The GOP continues to slowly extend its lead in Early Voting ballots in FL. Their lead has grown from 14,349 yesterday to 22,736 today: The GOP continues to hold the lead in overall ballots submitted (last row) 41-40%. While Democrats hold an edge in In-Person voting by 39-42%, the GOP is leading by 42-39% in […]

First off, I detected an error in my tables from the last two days in the last row computing total votes to date. This happened when I added the in-person voting to the tally. Anyway, I look at the percentages more than the totals and it really did not make a difference. So today Trump […]

My day job has been very busy so I cannot get these posts out as early as I would like.  And I have had to just not do the general election posts for two days now (hope to catch up here soon). But as goes FL, so goes the entire election – so I want […]

This is the 7th day I have looked at the general election polls for POTUS at RCP. For the 7th day the race looks to be a statistical tie or toss up. Today we have 4 polls: This is basically an uncomplicated assessment of the general election taken each day by averaging the % of […]

My previous post is here. In Obama’s 2012 reelection the Democrats produced more “early voting” ballots in Florida than the GOP did (obviously these are not votes for a candidate, but simply ballots by party ID). They led the GOP by 3% last cycle. Florida [2012] Votes: 4.3 million Democrats: 43% Republicans: 40% That edge […]

This is the fifth day I have looked at the general election polls for POTUS at RCP. My previous posts were: Oct 21, 2016 Oct 20, 2016 Oct 18 & Oct 19, 2016 This is basically an uncomplicated assessment of the general election taken each day by averaging the % of the general election polls […]

I thought it might be interesting to look at just the recent polls until the election, since where we are heading over the next three weeks is more important than were we have been over the last few months. So here is the midday snapshot of the RCP polls for today, October 20th, 2016: We […]