Poll Updates Below! All you need to know about the Coakley-Brown race is in this graph from Pollster.com (takes time to load – be patient!). This composite of all the polls for the race show what happened. Right after the end of the year, when Democrats rammed through their Frankenstein Monster of a health care […]

Updates Below! A new poll from, an outfit I am not familiar with (which means I have no idea of their credibility,  is out on the MA Special Election. Bottom line: Brown is cleaning Coakley’s clock by 9.6% (50.8%-41.2%).  3rd party candidate Kennedy comes in with a realistic 1.8% (in line with what we saw […]

Mark Halperin on Meet The Press (MTP) this morning just stated that the White House was quietly admitting to itself that Ted Kennedy’s seat is slipping away. As I suspected Obama’s trip is to try and limit the loss. Halperin also tried to claim the MA Special Election would not be any judgement on Obama’s […]

Whatever happens Tuesday, a legal reading of the MA laws regarding interim senators is clear: Interim Senator Paul Kirk is out of the Senate when the polls close Tuesday night, and therefore cannot vote on any legislation: Appointed Senator Paul Kirk will lose his vote in the Senate after Tuesday’s election in Massachusetts of a […]

Updates Below Late last night some more information trickled out regarding the state of the MA Special Election race between Martha Coakley (D) and Scott Brown (R). One of the more interesting articles was this one in the Boston Globe regarding polls, independents and turnout models: Independent voters in Massachusetts are an unpredictable breed and […]

Looks like it could very well be a historic wipe out in MA Tuesday. RCP is reporting that of the 9% of Massachusetts voters who voted absentee (which ended yesterday) Brown is winning 58-42, or 16%. This is right in line with my computations this morning, which indicate Coakley could lose by as much as […]

I seriously wonder about the mental stability of some of the political geniuses now running politics in this country. The Political Industrial Complex is the control-freak industry which runs politicians, and includes the news media, the consultants and campaign aids, the staff and lobbyists. And of course the front people – the politicians themselves. The […]

What we are seeing in the way of public polls and rumors about internal polls for the Massachusetts special election is just stunning. The last two public polls to come out had Coakley behind by 4% and 15%. I seriously doubt the 15% lead for Brown, but the fact is it is completely plausible given […]

Major Update: Jim Geraghty’s “number cruncher” confirms my analysis using an independent methodology and concludes: So the question remains what about the whole “special election dynamic” I believe it favors Brown, although, I think there will be some watering down of this advantage. What we are seeing is BROWN winning this race hands down. On […]

It seems the Democrats are about to be rocked to their core (according to polls from PPP) due to a win (or near loss) by relative unknown Scott Brown in Massachusetts’ special election on January 19th to fill the seat left by Ted Kennedy: Buoyed by a huge advantage with independents and relative disinterest from […]