Update_2: OK,  here is the updated data and computations adding in two additional general election polls: Across all 7 polls HRC averaging 43.0% Trump averaging 40.3% Difference 2.7% That is clearly a tie race, and I did not remove the Bloomberg outlier.  If I do then we get HRC averaging 42.3% Trump averaging 40.7% Difference […]

Democrats better take notice in Virginia today. The purple state that has been trending democrat for years, some could say leading the defection of the GOP that took hold in 2006 and 2008, which went for Barack Obama in 2008 53-47%, is going to send a message today. The state is going to elect a […]

It looks like there will be a GOP sweep of this fall’s governor races. In New Jersey, Governor Corzine is still polling pathetically low, and while the margin is tight the fact is Corzine’s average number is 40.6% – which for an incumbent means defeat. I think the nation is not sanguine about going back […]

A new Quinnipiac Poll out today for NJ has some shocking numbers for team Obama. The bottom line is bad enough. McCain-Palin have cut the previous 10 point lead in this deep blue state down to 3% (right at the MoE, making this a statistical tie). But there is even more bad news in this […]